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Why analysts are so wrong sometimes?

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Because no one can predict where the market is going with 100% accuracy and it can be affected by a lot of factors that maybe the analyst haven't even taken into account or events that affect the value but seemed to have no correlation with crypto whatsoever.

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because even if in the sector for a long time and despite the daily graphs and candles they follow, the market is unpredictable most of the time, a trifle is enough to make it change direction


 

 

 

 
 
 

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11 hours ago, Rukhsad said:

Because no one know about market.

there is no correct signal can be made.

market run for some good or bad news.

if some good news of crypto then it really pump a lot (also happed in before btc pumped al lot).

So you shouldn't follow any crypto single

You made some valid point but we have to start from any point.So i said we don't follow the signals but keep tabs on them.Read different news and  gain knowledge about trading.Then do trading own analysis.Am i catching the right  ball?

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In my opinion the crypto market is run with the demand and supply of  crypto currency. Then demand is more then price goes up and when market found the more supply then prices goes down but the demand of bitcoins remain high and sometime demand high and cross the daily limit in this way price goes high.

In my opinion the crypto market is run with the demand and supply of  crypto currency. Then demand is more then price goes up and when market found the more supply then prices goes down but the demand of bitcoins remain high and sometime demand high and cross the daily limit in this way price goes high.

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Oh my friend, there are signals that give other forecasts, for the implementation of which, funds are needed. So they are attracted by these "false" signals. 

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Because sometimes they do not take into account the fact that the cryptocurrency (its rate) can both grow and fall because of one news in the media.

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Right now, bitcoin traded in the $8600-$8700 price level, and it still up and down. The analyst can say whatever they want, but they don't know the truth. We can also say what we want, but we always need to check the market before we want to decide because the market will always move to any price that we don't know. If we can get the right information, and with our skills, we can predict where the price will moves so we can take the benefits of that and we can also make a profit too. But I believe that bitcoin will have the time to increase higher than the price now.

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Crypto depends on demand and supply. And it is not possible to predict demand. No one knows who will buy or sell bitcoin. We can only estimate from newses that demand may rise or fall. But we can not know tendency of people exactly. So these analysis are just estimates not reality.

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Well, analyst just given some predictions for the price of bitcoin, for my opinion, literally no one can be predict the price of bitcoin because there has no people can handle it because this is run through networks.

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Analyst that make predictions on the short term often make worse predictions than analysts who look at the largers picture. So f you decide to follow an analyst check if he/she also looks at the bigger trends. 


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Because noone on the earth is hundred percent correct.Analyses can be wrong someone.The reason is that they usually compare the past and present prices.So their predictions can be wrong sometimes.

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That is why their job is analyst, they are human not a god. So sometimes their prediction is wrong. I recommended to not follow any advice by them, because you don't have clear mind only follow what people opinion. I prefer to research my coin and then decide to buy or not.


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trading is all about probabilities, so no one can be 100% that the price will go in a certain way. plus this market is still very small so we have and high volatility which makes predictions less accurate

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the one who analyse and gives the reviews based on what they found in thier research or whats their opion sometimes our idea do not matches them the view differences is the reson that we fell they are wrong but actually we both ared right

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On 10/17/2019 at 11:18 PM, phabulu said:

It's more than 1 week that the analysts are saying that BTC will reach 7000$, I'm still waiting for it, but the markets look doing the opposite, it reached the 8k and today is almost all green.

https://www.coingecko.com/en

Why analysts are so wrong sometimes?

Bitcoin price depend on tecnical and fundamental analyses. Maximum people’s easily track technical analyses but we saw every time when bitcoin price  huge pump and dump reason only fundamental things. But No one Don't   know   about fundamental analyses.

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On ‎1‎/‎19‎/‎2020 at 8:48 PM, Sunny kumar said:

the one who analyse and gives the reviews based on what they found in thier research or whats their opion sometimes our idea do not matches them the view differences is the reson that we fell they are wrong but actually we both ared right

mainly they make their analyze basis on the previous records of the markets and the markets will not be same and this is normal matter I think.

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Sometimes we can see that some analysis not become true actually that is not easy to predict for the Crypto. But we should follow the news of Crypto.

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On 10/17/2019 at 11:18 PM, phabulu said:

It's more than 1 week that the analysts are saying that BTC will reach 7000$, I'm still waiting for it, but the markets look doing the opposite, it reached the 8k and today is almost all green.

https://www.coingecko.com/en

Why analysts are so wrong sometimes?

Do not be afraid brother. Because luck sometimes do not favour. That is natural. Starting again then you will definitely success. Stay alert and Be happy .

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Analysis is a method which relies on assumptions and predictions. In this strategy, the analyst tries to find similarities between past and present events that have happened in crypto world. They also analyze price changes based on movements on the charts and by comparing past and present prices, they find a pattern to simulate the shape of graphs for the future. At the end, they combine all the data they have gathered together to write a final prediction about the price of a certain coin. The reason they make mistakes is that analysts only have access to known facts and lots of unknown facts may happen that can change prices noticeably. These unknown facts can ruin the efforts of analysts.

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There are two group of analyst. The analyst who interprets the chart and notice that there will be a bearish movement and the other are those who interpret that there will be a bullish movement. Those who said that bitcoin could go back to 7k$ are just one of the group of analyst. 

 

There is no certainty in the analysis since they are not a miracle worker and that the market movement or trend could change anytime.


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its very hard to predict about this ! but I dont think that will happen ! but if you said that is going to be 9000$ yeah then I think its maybe will be 9000$ at the end of Feb 

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Bitcoin just broke out of a downtrend where it hit a low of $6.4kUSD a week ago. It could still continue the down trend, while its hit higher highs it hasn't confirmed a reversal with higher lows yet. However it has held the support around $8.3k, it probably won't hit $9k again for a while. If it does manage to hit $9k again, it will probably won't break much higher for some time. Where still in the long consolidation from the $20k bubble.

 

It won't run again till it breaks the long consolidation.

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Analysiser do not know what will exactly happen in future. They just show us some logic why future will be happen? That's it. Why you think what they say that absolutely will be correct.

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There is no guarantee that the analysis will be correct, the results of the analysis come from research by reading various factors and of course different from traditional markets that chance the results of the analysis are more precise, crypto is very volatile and does not guarantee accurate. The best step is to make a reference and make your own forecast.

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Bitcoin's capitalisation has reached a solid $1.30 trillion, which, as experts warn, reduces the effect of future inflows. Pessimists say the asset is already "overheated," and to reach $125,000, its capitalisation must almost double. In their opinion, such a colossal influx during the overbought period is unlikely, so one should expect a correction and subsequent consolidation. The possibility of such an outcome is also hinted at by the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index: over 7 days, it fell from 77 to 70 points and moved from the Extreme-Greed zone to the Greed zones. NordFX Analytical Group   Notice: These materials are not investment recommendations or guidelines for working in financial markets and are intended for informational purposes only. Trading in financial markets is risky and can result in a complete loss of deposited funds.   #eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #btcusd #ethusd #ltcusd #xrpusd #forex #forex_example #signals #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #stock_market   https://nordfx.com/ 
    • Готовимся к лаунчпаду Stage.                                      Stage — первая музыкальная платформа с использованием искусственного интеллекта и цифровых инструментов для токенизации музыкальных элементов, пионерская в интерактивном и инвестиционно ориентированном взаимодействии с музыкой.Инфа о проекте:   $2.4 млн. привлечено от венчурных инвесторов; Платформа SocialFi с RWAs; Доступна токенизация музыкальных элементов; Более 13 миллионов подписчиков благодаря сделкам с амбассадорами.Команда проекта анонсировала запуск токена $STAGE совместно с ведущими лаунчпадами: ChainGPT, Decubate и Eesee.   Помимо этого, проект запустил розыгрыш 5,000$ в токенах $STAGE. Все как обычно, необходимо выполнить легкие социальные задания и ждать результатов, советую испытать удачу. Розыгрыш — здесь.   Следим за проектом:Website | Twitter | Telegram | Discord
    • Bernstein, фирма по управлению активами с активами на сумму более 750 миллиардов долларов, удваивает прогноз цены на биткойн, повышая свою цель на 2025 год со 150 000 до 200 000 долларов.   Прогноз на 2033 год составляет ошеломляющий 1 миллион долларов. Аналитики компании в пятницу поделились своим прогнозом цен на флагманскую криптовалюту. В записке для клиентов исследовательская фирма заявила, что ожидания роста спотовых биткойн-ETF представляют собой бычий катализатор. «Мы считаем, что регулируемые США ETF стали переломным моментом для криптовалют, который вызвал структурный спрос со стороны традиционных пулов капитала», — отметили Гаутам Чугани и Махика Сапра из Bernstein.   С момента своего торгового дебюта в начале января спотовые биткойн-ETF зарегистрировали чистый приток более 15 миллиардов долларов. По мнению аналитиков, к 2025 году глобальный рынок спотовых биткойн-ETF может вырасти и составить примерно 7% оборотного предложения BTC. Цена BTC достигнет $1 млн к 2033 году Как и на спотовом рынке ETF, аналитики Bernstein утверждают, что Биткойн находится в новом бычьем цикле. Недавнее сокращение вознаграждения за блок вдвое, в результате которого ежедневная эмиссия сократилась примерно с 900 биткойнов до 450 биткойнов, является еще одним фактором, отметили они, написав, что взрыв спроса на фоне продолжающегося шока предложения может привести к тому, что цена BTC превысит 200 тысяч долларов к середине-концу следующего года. . Аналитики также ожидают, что к 2033 году спотовые биткойн-ETF будут составлять примерно 15% оборотного предложения «цифрового золота». восемь лет. Гаутам Чхугани и Махика Сапра прогнозируют, что к концу 2029 года Биткойн будет стоить 500 000 долларов, а к 2033 году — более 1 миллиона долларов. Бернштейн также инициировал освещение акций MicroStrategy, присвоив им рейтинг «выше рынка» с целевой ценой в $2890 к концу 2025 года.   MicroStrategy (MSTR) — это компания облачной аналитики на базе искусственного интеллекта, которая в настоящее время владеет 214 400 биткойнами. Компания объявила о продаже конвертируемых облигаций на сумму 700 миллионов долларов, выручка от которой будет направлена на покупку большего количества BTC.   
    • Genesis Drop LayerZero         Мысли Bryan Pellegrino на тему распределения... Дропов будет несколько. На первый в рынок попадет 8,5%, из который основной дроп 5%, 3% RFP и 0,5% комьюнити пул. Далее на дропы будет выделено еще 15,3% на протяжении 3 лет с распределением каждые 12 месяцев, что было очевидно после снепшота №1.3M кошельков с 1-5 tx сбреют вероятнее всего. После фильтрации sybil предварительно останется 1М адресов. Точнее сегодня будет инфа по sybil спискам.Раздачу он видит в широком диапазоне от 25 до 10к токенов на адрес (разница в 400 раз), где максималку получат в районе пары сотен кошельков, в зависимости от выбранной конечной модели распределения. На сумму аирдропа на кошелек будет влиять сожженый газ. Кстати можете чекнуть свой кошелек на предмет сожженого газа в dune. Чем больше сожгли, тем больше вероятный дроп.Total supply токенов будет 1B. Но это в принципе мы итак знали.....Ну и ждем 20 июня. Дату анонсировали в LayerZero Labs. Это предполагаемая дата airdrop.
    • ♦️Биржевой аналитик Bloomberg Эрик Балчунас заявил о переносе даты запуска спотовых Ethereum-ETF на 2 июля после получения эмитентами комментариев по формам S-1. По словам эксперта, комментарии «довольно простые, ничего серьезного». Поэтому Комиссия по ценным бумагам и биржам США (SEC) ожидает обновленные формы S-1 через неделю. 🔻«Примечание: наша предыдущая ожидаемая дата [запуска ETH-ETF] — 4 июля, так что это небольшой сдвиг. [Ранее] мы начали чувствовать, что это займет больше времени, так что это хорошие новости», — пояснил Балчунас. 🔺У него также спросили, сколько нужно времени на запуск торгов Ethereum-ETF после одобрения форм S-1. По словам аналитика, обычно это происходит на следующий день. 13 июня глава SEC Гэри Генслер отметил, что ожидает окончания бюрократических процедур для старта торгов Ethereum-ETF до конца лета. источник:https://forklog.com/news/analitik-soobshhil-o-perenose-daty-zapuska-spotovyh-ethereum-etf ——————————————————— ОБМЕНЯТЬ  / ПОМОЩЬ  / БОНУСЫ  / ОТЗЫВЫ
    • 15.06.2024 Тарифы Kingex 👑   Покупка криптовалюты / Buying cryptocurrency:   BTC/ETH  +1.3% (Мы доплачиваем) USDT  +1.3% (Мы доплачиваем)   ^^SALE^^ от 50k    + 1.5%    Продажа криптовалюты / Selling cryptocurrency:   BTC/ETH  +3.3%  USDT   +3.3%    Оператор: @Kingex Сайт: Kingex.io Курс на протяжении дня может меняться! ------------------------ Будьте ОСТОРОЖНЫ, появились фейки! Наш телеграм: @Kingex
    • Президент Сальвадора, выступающий за биткойн, Найиб Букеле предлагает создать в стране частные инвестиционные банки, которые в случае одобрения будут предлагать биткойны. Это облегчит доступ инвесторов к финансовым услугам и уменьшат ограничения по сравнению с традиционными банками.   «В рамках нашего экономического плана для Сальвадора мы предлагаем создать BPI, Банк частных инвестиций, где мы сможем диверсифицировать варианты финансирования, предлагаемые потенциальным инвесторам в долларах и биткойнах», — написала посол Сальвадора в США Милена Майорга в своем сообщении. Сообщение от 14 июня на X. «Президент Букеле приступает к работе в новом сроке с новым законодательством о создании Биткойн-банка», —  добавил в тот же день старший советник по биткойнам Букеле Макс Кайзер, отметив прогноз генерального директора Ark Invest Кэти Вуд о том, что реальный ВВП Сальвадора «может вырасти в 10 раз». в два раза в течение следующих пяти лет» стало лишь «более вероятным». Найиб Букеле недавно был приведен к присяге на второй пятилетний президентский срок. Источник: Президентский дом.   Это произошло всего через две недели после того, как Букеле был приведен к присяге на очередной пятилетний президентский срок после убедительной победы на выборах в феврале. У Банка Частных Инвестиций не будет всех тех же «запретов» в банковском законодательстве По данным El Mundo, BPI не столкнется с такими же строгими законами, как традиционные банки, такими как ограничения на взаимодействие с зарубежными банками или финансовыми компаниями, «связанными со своими акционерами или бизнес-группами». Ограничения по кредитам также будут сняты. «Инвестиционные банки также не будут подвергаться запрету «предоставлять кредиты или принимать на себя риски более чем на 25% своего фонда активов в отношении одного и того же лица», — говорится в отчете от 14 июня . В случае одобрения новые частные инвестиции «должны быть созданы» с минимальным акционерным капиталом в 50 миллионов долларов и требуют как минимум двух акционеров, которые могут быть иностранцами.   Было подтверждено, что BPI сможет работать с любым законным платежным средством, включая доллар США и биткойн, и даже получать разрешение на то, чтобы стать поставщиком цифровых активов и услуг биткойнов. Министр экономики Сальвадора Мария Луиза Хайем предложила реформу Комиссии по технологиям, туризму и инвестициям под руководством Букеле. Однако оно еще не утверждено. «Реформа не была одобрена; Законодатели еще не согласились пригласить чиновников для ознакомления с целями проекта и не поставили его на голосование в Комиссии», — добавили в нем.
    • Власти Нигерии сняли ряд обвинений с исполнительного директора BinanceФедеральная налоговая служба Нигерии сняла налоговые претензии с исполнительного директора Binance Тиграна Гамбаряна и его коллеги Надима Анджарваллы.Тем не менее паре по-прежнему предъявлены обвинения в отмывании денег со стороны Комиссии по экономическим и финансовым преступлениям Нигерии. Рассмотрение дела должно возобновиться 20 июня.Семья Гамбаряна продолжает настаивать на фиктивности предъявленных ему обвинений и требует его освобождения, особенно, на фоне проблем со здоровьем. Известно, что 23 мая один из топ-менеджеров Binance потерял сознание прямо в зале суда. Врачи диагностировали у него малярию.Адвокаты подсудимого заявляют, что в настоящее время состояние их подзащитного ещё больше ухудшилось. При этом тюремные власти отказываются предоставлять информацию о самочувствии заключённого.Несмотря на постановление судьи Эмеки Нвите немедленно отправить Тиграна в больницу, тюремным властям потребовалось 11 дней, чтобы доставить его на краткий осмотр. Тюрьма не разрешает передавать результаты этого обследования в больнице его семье, адвокатам или посольству США.В марте Надим Анджарвалла сбежал из-под стражи в Нигерии, используя свой кенийский паспорт. Позже его выследили и арестовали в Кении, теперь ему грозит экстрадиция в Нигерию.
    • Добро пожаловать в Cryptoflow.cloud - Ваше решение для криптоплатежей! 🔹 Поддержка множества криптовалют Cryptoflow.cloud поддерживает самые популярные криптовалюты, включая Биткоин, Монеро, USDT и Трон. Теперь ваши клиенты могут оплачивать покупки удобным для них способом! 🔹 Легкая интеграция с API С нашим удобным и понятным API, интеграция криптоплатежей в ваш онлайн-магазин или сайт станет проще простого. Быстрое подключение и минимальные усилия - это реальность с Cryptoflow.cloud. 🔹 Быстрое подключение магазина Начните принимать криптовалюту уже сегодня! Наши решения обеспечивают быстрое и беспроблемное подключение вашего магазина к нашей системе. Получайте платежи в криптовалюте без задержек и сложностей. 🔹 Высокая безопасность Безопасность ваших транзакций - наш приоритет. Мы предлагаем надежные методы защиты данных и предотвращения мошенничества, чтобы вы могли быть уверены в безопасности своих средств и информации. 🔹 Эффективная обработка транзакций Наслаждайтесь мгновенными платежами и быстрыми подтверждениями транзакций. С Cryptoflow.cloud ваши клиенты получат наилучший опыт использования криптоплатежей. Присоединяйтесь к нам и откройте новые возможности для вашего бизнеса с Cryptoflow.cloud! 📩 Свяжитесь с нами для получения дополнительной информации и начните принимать криптовалютные платежи уже сегодня!
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