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Which one is more risky? Short term or Long term?

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On 4/22/2020 at 11:38 PM, Mishadima said:

Yes you are right so it is much better to hold for long time because that will guarantee you of making good profit in the future but it also depends on the type of coins you have in your wallet. Good luck.

If you trade daily, you can also monitor market prices. So you can take the opportunity at each event. All have risks. 


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as you said both of them are risky and it depends to yourself in both of them if you choose wrong coin to but you may lose your mom but guess between long term trading and short time trading, short term is more risky.

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On 12/19/2019 at 9:21 PM, Luv4me said:

That is a good option of learning, i also make research on both the this forum and on the internet

Sometimes in short-term trading, the possibility of losses is greater than the long-term and depends on many things. The profits I had traded were lost for a short time the way I did if it were long term I could still have something my money wouldn't erode like that.

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On 5/7/2020 at 10:56 AM, melikf78 said:

as you said both of them are risky and it depends to yourself in both of them if you choose wrong coin to but you may lose your mom but guess between long term trading and short time trading, short term is more risky.

Well I also think that short term trading is more dangerous, but as I said you can be both types dangerous if the trader does not know how to trade properly and analyzes and studies the currency he wants to trade on.

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The risk of trading is related to the type of currency that you are trading, as some currencies such as Ripple and Dogecoin are best traded in the long term, whereas famous currencies such as Ethereum and Bitcoin are in the same short or medium term trading so that they always make profits from price variables.


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Short term trading is more risky, they might be so lucrative though because of the profit return in a short time. Long term trading is alot less risky; you always have all the time for analysis of the market and and other necessary procedures, they can promise high returns too but in slow process, therefore requires more patience.

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For me, trading on a daily or short-term basis is more exposed to risk because the prices differ and you may not go in the direction you want. And you have to invest a huge amount of money in order to achieve good profits if it increases by a small percentage. As for the long term analysis of the risks that I do a few and often some deals are what I lose and that is through some surprises that are not challenged except in certain moments.


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I think, In crypto world, every sort of tradings are risky i.e. either short-term or long-term if you are focused to earn more benefits from tradings.Simply remember this basic formula, no risks no benefits which means , you have to be ready to face any sort of risks. 


 

 

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I believe long term is the most riskier as because you will probabily miss out more on an eventually price higher value where you could sell and gain profit rather than on a short term where u constantly update the site and view how well your investment is going.

 

That's from my own experience as well by the way 😉


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When we talk about risk, short term trading or day trading always has more risks associated with them. The day trading operates on daily price fluctuations but in short run it is difficult to know whether the price will rise or not. So there is higher volatility risks in short term trading as the price may go anywhere on the short run.

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You need to keep the risk in mind too, but you need to see if you can invest in long term as it will work as savings and you won't be able to use the amount and in short term you can make more profits as the market sometimes move very fast, and the risk is too more.

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we cant really evaluate which can be most risky , both are equally risky because in a day trade it will be hard for you to account how much you are losing and with no time if you keep on getting into loss then you may lose alot of money without knowing but in long trade you will know how much you are losing, in a day trade you will be keeping your money in any coins that has chance to rise and most people follows signals but i think you will barely be in loss in long trade because most of the people does long trade with top coins only like ETH, BTC, XRP,TRX , soon i think such coins never embarrass us 

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This actually depends on the coins you want to make use of in the trading field but from my own point of view shirt time trading is more risky for the reason that the Cryptocurrency marketplace is not stable this days meaning price of coins fluctuate a lot which can easily lead someone to great loss if you don't choose popular coins that have potential of rising again in the future.


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Every trade has risk, it's just that we can minimize this risk by buying potential coins for short-term or long-term trading, choosing the right time to sell and buy, if it's wrong and the time to sell is incorrect then the risk of loss will be large, because the trader we have to think fast and precisely so there is no risk in trading.

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Long time holding is very risk! You will buy some coins and holding them long for a good price. A long holder will not sell for small profits and thats the problem, at the end you will leave all small profits and the price will start to fall then you will lose even that small profit. But a short time holder just needs a small profit because they don't hold for a long time! That means they don't have a large % of risk to lose when the price falls while they holding.  

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Short time trading is more risky than long time especially when you don't have good background about the field, short time requires one to be smart and active because you will need to be checking the market where coins are low on price and you will look for another site where the price a bit higher then you will sell there for profit and during that process price might change which can easily lead you to great loss, so I think long time is much better because you will have the opportunity to watch the market and know the right time to trade out the coins. 

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I think short term trading is more risky then long term trading. It is because in short term you have to look carefully the market. If you miss the moment of stop trading you can get loss. In short term trading time play important role. 

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Scalping is more risky i think. Crypto market fluctuations runs very fast and there is a high probability that we will make mistake 4-6 times out of 10 times. But its a good way to make quick profit and its good for low trading balance.


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On 11/23/2019 at 2:06 AM, rakib7970 said:

I want to know that which one is more risky? Is it short term trading or Long term trading? I know trading is always risky but I want to get sure which one is more risky. It will be easier for me to take decision that how to invest and how much invest if I know that.

Actually both are risky if you picked the to trade on the wrong pair. 
Long term trades shouls be moee focused on coins that are strong in the market. Like bitcoin and ethereum. 
You can also trade btc and eth for short terms, but it is not very profitable because normally, there are just small changes on it's value.
Short term tradings are more risky because it is very exhausting most of the times. You use massive amount of your time on screen, checking for the value to go up. But nothing good happens. 
 


 

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Long position (Long)

The essence of a long transaction is to buy an asset cheap and sell it expensive. For example, a trader analyzed the current market situation with asset X, which is worth $100, and came to the conclusion that it is now undervalued. To make a profit, a trader needs to buy an asset, for example, in the amount of $1000, that is, 10 units of asset X. If after some time it turns out that the trader was right and asset X really rose in price, for example, to $150, he can sell 10 units of asset X for the amount of $1500. Thus, the net profit of this transaction will be $500.

Long trading itself is quite easy to use, so it is more common among novice traders than short trading. Of course, experienced traders also often use it in their trading strategies.

Short position (short)

As already mentioned, the essence of a short deal is to sell high and buy low. For example, a trader analyzed asset Y, which is worth $100, and came to the conclusion that it is now overvalued. To make a profit, the trader needs to sell an asset for example in the amount of $1000, that is, 10 units of asset Y. If after some time asset Y falls in price, for example, to $50, the trader can buy the same 10 units of asset Y for $500. Thus, after the transaction is completed, the trader will still have the same amount of asset Y in the account, but at the same time he will receive a net profit of $500.

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Long-term trading is better if you want to dedicate your time to other things instead of being in front of a screen all day, there are some people who are very disciplined and learn to trade every day but require multiple tools and knowledge to operate In a safe way, if you want to be trading every day, it is good to arbitrage requires less knowledge and is to sell high and buy cheap in the p2p market, this is very interesting since it will allow greater profits and dedicate only a little time daily.


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In the long term it is more risky, but the gains are greater, it is worth taking the risk, always before knowing where one is getting.

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Both of them are risky, but for me short is more risky -) I don't know why... may be it depends on the person and your strategy, but I'm more lucky working with long -) 

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I think the risk lies in the crypto we buy, if we buy good crypto it can minimize losses, but if we buy the wrong crypto we can have a big risk. Long-term or short-term trading can be profitable, so to minimize risk all you need to do is trade at the right times. When the market is good, you can trade short-term, but when the market is bad, you have to change your strategy for long-term trading.

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If for the long term, we should really know about the project, we must read the whitepaper carefully, if the project has good legitimacy, the long term will be better, but if the project is not very clear and only bully, it is better if it is profitable. we have to secure it.

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The minority, as is often the case with the Japanese currency, turned out to be right: no interventions occurred, and the pair reached another peak – 161.28.   Frankly, there's nothing to comment on here – everything has been discussed dozens and hundreds of times. The problem of the yen's weakening lies in the ultra-loose monetary policy of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). And as long as it does not decisively turn towards tightening, the national currency will continue to lose its positions. Of course, for a while, the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank can support its exchange rate with currency interventions. But spending billions and billions on something that disappears like ripples on water after a few days – is there any point in that? Can this be called monetary policy?   If inflation falls in major competing countries, in Japan, it rises. According to data published on Friday, 28 June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Tokyo for the year ending in June rose to 2.3% compared to 2.2% for the previous period. The core CPI inflation (excluding volatile food prices) also increased to 2.1% year-on-year, which is higher than both the forecast of 2.0% and the previous value of 1.9%. Another core CPI index for Tokyo (excluding food and energy prices) decreased in June to 1.8% year-on-year compared to the previous value of 2.2%.   Of course, these are not jumps that warrant sounding a loud alarm – all indicators are "hovering" around the target 2.0%. This allows Japanese officials to pause, without changing the vector of their monetary policy, and to limit themselves to verbal "interventions". Thus, Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki once again stated that he is "deeply concerned about excessive and unilateral movements in the Forex market" and expressed hope that "trust in the Japanese currency is maintained". Suzuki's colleague, Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, delivered almost the same speech word for word. However, he added that the authorities "will take appropriate measures regarding excessive currency movements", hinting at another currency intervention.   This hint from Yoshimasa Hayashi scared 60% of experts who voted for the pair's southward movement and yen strengthening, 20% pointed north, and 20% took a neutral position. The opinion of the indicators is unambiguous, as they have never heard of interventions. Therefore, all 100% of trend indicators and oscillators on D1 are green, although a quarter of the latter are in the overbought zone. The nearest support level is around 160.25, followed by 159.20, 158.65, 157.60-157.80, 156.60, 155.45-155.70, 154.50-154.70, 153.60, 153.00, 151.90-152.15, 150.80-151.00. The nearest resistance is in the 160.85 zone, followed by 161.30 and 162.50.   In the upcoming week, the calendar highlights Monday, 01 July. On this day, the Tankan Large Manufacturers Index will be published. No other important macro statistics regarding the state of the Japanese economy are planned for the coming days.   CRYPTOCURRENCIES: Causes and Consequences of "Black Monday" on 24 June     Monday, 24 June, presented investors with a very unpleasant surprise – on this day, bitcoin's price fell below $60,000 for the first time since 03 May, reaching $58,468 at one point. Ethereum, in turn, fell below $3,250. Analysts highlight several reasons for the active sell-offs, noting that they reflect overall instability in global financial markets and uncertainty about monetary and regulatory policies in several leading countries, especially China and the US. However, there are also more specific factors that contributed to the development of the bearish trend.   In mid-June, the German government began selling off a huge amount of bitcoins (about 50,000 BTC) confiscated in January. Panic sentiment sharply intensified after the announcement on 24 June that creditor payments for the bankrupt crypto exchange Mt.Gox would begin in early July. The total amount of funds to be distributed among former clients is 162,100 BTC, roughly $10 billion. Bitcoin responded to this news with an 8% drop. It’s no surprise – such a volume of coins flooding the free market can seriously knock down prices. In the derivatives market, long positions worth $177 million were forcibly liquidated, and the total financing rate for futures contracts turned negative for the first time in June, indicating that sales exceeded purchases.   It is precisely on the expectations of Mt.Gox debt payments that the flagship crypto asset's quotes reached the lowest level in the past eight weeks last Monday. In this situation, two things are encouraging. Firstly, the deadline for repayment falls on 31 October, and it's possible that payments will be made in parts over four months rather than all at once. And secondly, there is hope that not all creditors will rush to convert their bitcoins into fiat, but will hold onto them, hoping for price growth.   In addition to the above, BTC miners exerted some downward pressure on the market. It became known that their coin reserves reached a 14-year low, as they had to sell a significant amount of BTC due to the April halving to cover operational expenses. Recall that the cost of mining bitcoin, according to JPMorgan analysts, is $53,000. Historically, this cost level is a strong support for BTC/USD. However, even in March, JPMorgan did not rule out that after the halving, bitcoin could temporarily fall to $42,000.   In the absence of positive signals, the demand for spot bitcoin ETFs continues to decline, major market participants slow down their activity, and start to take profits. This also pressures the prices. CEO of investment company CryptoQuant Ki Young Ju calculated that over the past two weeks, bitcoin whales and miners set a record by selling coins worth $1.2 billion.   According to 10x Research, all last week, US spot BTC ETFs recorded investor outflows, and on 21 June, net outflow exceeded $105 million. 10x Research believes that bitcoin will now need to find a new price range to stabilize the decline and then find growth catalysts. In the medium term, according to 10x Research analysts, it is not worth expecting BTC to return above $70,000.   Popular analyst Matthew Hyland noted that the combined bitcoin balance on centralized exchanges reached a multi-year low. In theory, this could be seen as a bullish signal, but the crypto market leader is not yet eager to show an upward trend. Naturally, the publication of key US economic data could serve as a vector for further cryptocurrency movements. If the Fed takes its first step in easing its monetary policy in September, it could support risky assets, including bitcoin. According to Cryptology experts, the chances of bitcoin reaching a new all-time high by the end of September are quite high, and what is happening now is a phase of accumulation.   Despite the current decline, many investors remain optimistic, citing the cyclical nature of the crypto market. They also do not forget about the US elections. For example, former Goldman Sachs CEO Raoul Pal predicted significant bitcoin and cryptocurrency market growth in Q4 2024. In an episode of The Wolf Of All Streets podcast, the financier noted that risky assets like bitcoin usually rally against the backdrop of US presidential elections. "The final quarter of an election year is a real 'banana zone' for all assets. It always is," Pal optimistically stated, noting that the "banana zone" for cryptocurrencies in autumn is much more pronounced than, for example, for the Nasdaq index.   Bitcoin was also supported by billionaire Michael Saylor. His company, MicroStrategy, is one of the largest bitcoin holders in the world, with 205,000 BTC on its balance sheet. Despite the negative trend, it increased its reserves by another 11,931 BTC (over $700 million) in the past month alone. Saylor is convinced of the first cryptocurrency's ability to grow to $10 million with support from China and other factors. He believes that in the future, governments, especially China, will fully embrace the first cryptocurrency and integrate it into the state infrastructure. The entrepreneur declared all pre-bitcoin economic instruments obsolete. "Before Satoshi Nakamoto, economics was a pseudoscience. All economists before Satoshi tried to develop economic laws with shells, glass beads, pieces of paper, and credit instruments," the businessman wrote, calling bitcoin a "perfect asset."   In previous reviews, we already wrote that the launch of exchange-traded spot ETFs on Ethereum could give a certain boost to the digital asset market. On 25 June, SEC (US Securities and Exchange Commission) Chairman Gary Gensler noted that the registration process for new ETFs is "going smoothly," and the approval date depends on how quickly applicants submit adjusted S-1 forms. Bloomberg analysts call 02 July the expected approval date for new products. Reuters, citing anonymous sources, reports that a consensus has been reached between fund managers and the SEC in negotiations, and only the "final touches" remain.   Co-founder of venture company Mechanism Capital Andrew Kang stated that after the approval of ETH-ETF, Ethereum's rate could correct by 30%, falling to $2,400. In his opinion, at this stage, the main altcoin attracts much less attention from institutional investors compared to bitcoin. Based on this, ETH-ETF will attract only 15% of funds compared to what BTC-ETF received at the start.   Kang noted that to increase Ethereum's attractiveness among investors, its ecosystem needs to be positioned as a decentralized financial settlement layer, a global computer, or a Web3 application store. At the same time, it will be difficult to sell new ideas for Ethereum's application to funds, as the asset is perceived by investors as an overvalued stock of a large technology company.   Significantly more positively views the future of Ethereum Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, a company managing cryptocurrency funds. In his opinion, the appearance of a long-awaited exchange product is undoubtedly a positive factor, and the net inflow of investments into ETH-ETF over the first 18 months will amount to $15 billion. In his analysis, he relies on the experience of Canada and the EU, where in similar products the inflow ratio for Ethereum and Bitcoin is approximately 1 to 4 (i.e., 25%). In other words, if in the first quarter of work for spot Bitcoin-ETF the total inflow was $26.9 billion, for Ethereum it is expected to be at the level of $6.7 billion. In this case, in three months of work, the leading altcoin could rise to $4,400-5,000.   CEO of SkyBridge Capital Anthony Scaramucci believes that the price of Ethereum could rise even higher, reaching $10,000-12,000. Regarding bitcoin, the entrepreneur allows for its growth to $170,000-250,000. The main driver, in his opinion, will be the further institutional acceptance of cryptocurrency. Scaramucci called the approval of spot exchange ETFs an important regulatory barrier breakthrough for attracting new capital. Thanks to this, in his opinion, the share of digital gold in the portfolios of major players will soon be about 3%.   As of the evening of Friday, 28 June, BTC/USD is trading at $60,190, and ETH/USD is in the $3,390 zone. The total crypto market capitalization is $2.24 trillion ($2.34 trillion a week ago). The bitcoin Fear & Greed Index (Crypto Fear & Greed Index) has dropped from 63 to 47 points over the past 7 days, moving from the Greed zone to the Neutral zone.   In conclusion, here is another observation from Matt Hougan. The CIO of Bitwise presented three reasons why long-term investments in both bitcoin and Ethereum are more advantageous compared to investing only in bitcoin. These are: 1. portfolio diversification 2. the opportunity to earn on very different ecosystems and 3. economic benefit.   Considering the difference in the capitalization levels of bitcoin and Ethereum, Hougan believes that 75% of the capital should be invested in BTC and 25% in ETH. According to calculations, over the period from May 2020 to May 2024, the yield of such an investment portfolio is 3% per annum higher than one that only contains bitcoin. However, Hougan acknowledges that in the shorter term, a portfolio including 100% BTC outperforms a diversified one. Moreover, investing only in bitcoin carries fewer risks due to its higher market capitalization and features such as limited coin issuance and a phased reduction in the inflation rate to zero.   NordFX Analytical Group   Notice: These materials are not investment recommendations or guidelines for working in financial markets and are intended for informational purposes only. Trading in financial markets is risky and can result in a complete loss of deposited funds.   #eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #btcusd #ethusd #ltcusd #xrpusd #forex #forex_example #signals #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #stock_market   https://nordfx.com/ 
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