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abualez

Is there a hope?

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I hope so. Cryptotalk has been kind to us, and some managed to destroy this experience with their greed. Possibly the bonus of earning bitcoins will come back, I am coming back at times to check, and leave a post when I can.

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That would probably depend on how active the English section is after getting removed from the payment system, and how the general content of the section has improved over time. As of right now, I think the activity and quality of the section isn't enough for consideration of returning the section back into the payment system.

 

It is not my intention to bash others, but now I can see which members are in this forum for genuine crypto information/discussion and which ones are only active for the money (sats and tokens).

ROTFL 🤣🤣🤣

 

Anyway, there is still the possibility of running a signature campaign on this section, but with the obviously current lesser member participation, it may be difficult to convince the campaign managers to do so.

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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On 7/2/2021 at 9:31 PM, abualez said:

After we have been removed from the forum campaign, is there any hope of earning bitcoins from this forum?

I dont think so...

Because if you check page https://yobit.net/en/cryptotalk/ you can see that say " in Russian-speaking topics"...

11 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

That would probably depend on how active the English section is after getting removed from the payment system, and how the general content of the section has improved over time. As of right now, I think the activity and quality of the section isn't enough for consideration of returning the section back into the payment system.

Really? What can you expect (activity) when you stop payments just for one section (from total two) and write that "maybe" payments will start again for EN section.

11 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

It is not my intention to bash others, but now I can see which members are in this forum for genuine crypto information/discussion and which ones are only active for the money (sats and tokens).

ROTFL 🤣🤣🤣

 

It's interesting that you say that, because you are too not too active.

11 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Anyway, there is still the possibility of running a signature campaign on this section, but with the obviously current lesser member participation, it may be difficult to convince the campaign managers to do so.

Signature campaign now? :classic_huh:

Do you see activity on EN section?

Do you know that payments stop for all EN section members?

 

I must to admit that this is very disappointing situation, and that it would be better to shut down whole EN section from forum than to do this. Really disappointing.


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16 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

Really? What can you expect (activity) when you stop payments just for one section (from total two) and write that "maybe" payments will start again for EN section.

Please take note of the word "probably" in my post above. Frankly, I'm not expecting too much about the reconsideration either. If they bring back the payment campaign, great. If not, then tough luck. I'll still do some activity in the forum either way.

 

16 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

It's interesting that you say that, because you are too not too active.

Even back when there was payments in this section, I'm not that active either. Me, an active member who just posts 2-3 messages a day on average? No.

 

At least I still visit and post on this forum even when there is no payment. You should know - you've visited my profile a few hours ago.

Spoiler

image.png.fd9738294afac985ad48ea6355589a35.png

How about you? Any updates on the TALK token analysis on your own topic?

 

16 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

Signature campaign now? :classic_huh:

Do you see activity on EN section?

Do you know that payments stop for all EN section members?

Again, try to read my post carefully. Notice the word "possibility" over there? Whether or not there will be signature campaigns or airdrops here under the current situation is up to the forum admins and/or campaign managers, really.

 

And I'm not that ignorant enough not to notice what is going on here either.

 

Any other comments you have, other than another antagonizing remarks?

 

16 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

I must to admit that this is very disappointing situation, and that it would be better to shut down whole EN section from forum than to do this. Really disappointing.

At least this quote, I agree with the disappointment. But not to the point of shutting down the whole English section. The forum as a whole will suffer even more reduced internet traffic if the English section is to be taken out. Not everyone can read the Russian section, so obviously non-Russian speakers are not going to visit the forum, and whoever is running this whole forum probably won't like that reduced viewership.

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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4 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Please take note of the word "probably" in my post above. Frankly, I'm not expecting too much about the reconsideration either. If they bring back the payment campaign, great. If not, then tough luck. I'll still do some activity in the forum either way.

- OK "probably", but that is your conclusion right?

  OK you will be active but who else? Because I see just few members which write and few are spammer...

4 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Even back when there was payments in this section, I'm not that active either. Me, an active member who just posts 2-3 messages a day on average? No.

 

At least I still visit and post on this forum even when there is no payment. You should know - you've visited my profile a few hours ago.

  Reveal hidden contents

image.png.fd9738294afac985ad48ea6355589a35.png

How about you? Any updates on the TALK token analysis on your own topic?

Yes I check because like I say above there are just few members which are "active" (few posts per day).

I dont understand you, what is the point that just few members write? With whom you will discuss? With yourself?

 

About my analysis for TALK token, did you saw last post?

And what changed? Price is same 2sat/1sat, one thing has changed that investbox work again and minimum is 123456 TALK (like some joke :classic_blink:) it's looks like other investbox tokens.

4 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Again, try to read my post carefully. Notice the word "possibility" over there? Whether or not there will be signature campaigns or airdrops here under the current situation is up to the forum admins and/or campaign managers, really.

 

And I'm not that ignorant enough not to notice what is going on here either.

 

Any other comments you have, other than another antagonizing remarks?

You repeat yourself,.

You think that one section is paying and second section not? Or something else?

And about my comments, I just write facts like always.

Like for example, is it OK that one section is paying and second not?

4 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

At least this quote, I agree with the disappointment. But not to the point of shutting down the whole English section. The forum as a whole will suffer even more reduced internet traffic if the English section is to be taken out. Not everyone can read the Russian section, so obviously non-Russian speakers are not going to visit the forum, and whoever is running this whole forum probably won't like that reduced viewership.

You are dissapointed and you write that I write "antagonizing remarks" because I write facts? :classic_blink:

Dont be double-faced please.

And why not to shut down? If section dont have activity what is point to be there?

Come on! And please tell me why now will visit EN section?

This what you write dont have point at all.


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1 hour ago, BullRunBit said:

I dont understand you, what is the point that just few members write? With whom you will discuss? With yourself?

Then what are you doing here, talking to me with your posts? 😒 You're trying to do a discussion with me, right?

 

I'm taking a neutral approach to this discussion, while you think I'm being too optimistic. If that is what you think, then suit yourself. But try not to make it too personal, like I'm THE only person left on the forum.

 

And you do realize that activities on this forum is not just limited to posting discussions, right? There are also crypto-related announcements by mods we can read (with Google Translate if necessary), although they are currently more active in the Russian section.

 

As for the rest of your comments directed to me on that post (and any more succeeding ones on your next), I'm not going to answer them anymore because we'll only go off-topic and personal at this point. I'm not going to repeat myself, like what you're trying to say.

 

1 hour ago, BullRunBit said:

And what changed? Price is same 2sat/1sat, one thing has changed that investbox work again and minimum is 123456 TALK (like some joke :classic_blink:) it's looks like other investbox tokens.

Yes, that one. Would you mind updating it along with your elaborate analysis and future prospects for the token? At least the forum admins should be able to get some useful feedback from you.

 

Can we get back to the discussion now?

22 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

I dont think so...

Because if you check page https://yobit.net/en/cryptotalk/ you can see that say " in Russian-speaking topics"...

So, you think there's no hope after all? Is the following quote nothing but a farce for you? Why do you think so?

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/106294-new-payment-and-rating-system-for-the-forum/?do=findComment&comment=14894956

Quote

Payment Update. 
Payment for posts in English section is temporarily completely disabled (in BTC and tokens) due to a large number of spammers (we may return it back after updating the quality assessment system).

 

Edited by kyoukage01

 

New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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Well if it is about the payment then I wonder where you and all other commenting, were when there was the topic starter competition. Yes, they were paying Bitcoins. The same Bitcoins you are talking about right now. The best thing was that I was the only one to participate from the English Section{Few members made the topic in week 1 but from next all of them got vanished away in thin air.} I was fascinated about the project so I did that in week 1 but for the following week I write because it was competition and I had already gained the knowledge.

So, If you like writing only for payments then you can stop writing here because administration don't pay BITCOINS for your post but if it is what you love it then you can continue.

Talking about money and BITCOINS, Yes we are human and human love money and crypto is more than money so it is even more lovable and the motivating factor for me and for others too. 

 

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NOTHING I SAY IS FINANCIAL ADVICE. YOU SHOULD USE YOUR MIND ,FOR YOUR MONEY,

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On 7/4/2021 at 5:02 AM, kyoukage01 said:

Anyway, there is still the possibility of running a signature campaign on this section, but with the obviously current lesser member participation, it may be difficult to convince the campaign managers to do so.

 

As a side note, those campaigns turned out to be very profitable. That's usually not the case on rival forums because most of the campaigns are scams that won't pay. And for some reason, every campaign in here paid out from what i can tell.

 

I haven't done the math on how much i invested on the projects and how much i got just from sigs, but at least nominex is still making me happy.

 

In order to those campaigns come back we don't need as much of posters as we had, we just need quality posts from real people and conversation. Also spam needs to be taken care of some other way, it's pointless to fight bots with humans. Right now most of them seem to be gone but i am guessing that's just because they aren't making profits.

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10 hours ago, Ridam said:

So, If you like writing only for payments then you can stop writing here because administration don't pay BITCOINS for your post but if it is what you love it then you can continue.

Exactly. People posting on Reddit (and any other non-crypto forums for that matter) usually don't get paid for posts but they do it anyway, because they want to and they love to. So why not we do it here as well?

 

10 hours ago, Ridam said:

Well if it is about the payment then I wonder where you and all other commenting, were when there was the topic starter competition. Yes, they were paying Bitcoins. The same Bitcoins you are talking about right now. The best thing was that I was the only one to participate from the English Section{Few members made the topic in week 1 but from next all of them got vanished away in thin air.} I was fascinated about the project so I did that in week 1 but for the following week I write because it was competition and I had already gained the knowledge.

Is is about this one?

 

Well, not everyone can write topics as well as others can 😁 . And that competition is controversial because one big winner was found to be cheating afterwards.

 

7 hours ago, rekter said:

In order to those campaigns come back we don't need as much of posters as we had, we just need quality posts from real people and conversation. Also spam needs to be taken care of some other way, it's pointless to fight bots with humans. Right now most of them seem to be gone but i am guessing that's just because they aren't making profits.

I see the mod finally commenting in the link below after all this time. What took him so long? 😂😂

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/55628-dialogue-with-the-administration/?do=findComment&comment=15615788

 

Looks like members need a few more months of waiting or so if we were to take that announcement at face value. What happens to this section in the meantime is going to be the tricky part. Posting/updating crypto-related topics and discussions to make this section more active is now left in the hands of the rest of us who are still posting here.

 

As for the issue with spammers, I personally am enjoying the general peace and quiet at the moment. Not unlike a few months ago where us spam reporters are gagging with the sheer number of shitposts being churned out every hour of everyday 🤣 . Here's to hoping the new policy in the making will finally address the spam issue 🥂 .

 

Edited by kyoukage01
easter egg added
  • +3 2

 

New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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2 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Is is about this one?

 

Well, not everyone can write topics as well as others can 😁 . And tha

NO bro it was longtime back. I am talking about this competition held recently. You can check it out and you will understand clearly what I mean:classic_biggrin::classic_biggrin:.

Along with the 100Kusdt competition there was another small competition for creating post about chia. I don't know why but none was there to talk about it at that time either it is because the payment has stopped and they thought I shouldn't check the forum from now or they don't like CHIA project. 

Spoiler

 

2 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Exactly. People posting on Reddit (and any other non-crypto forums for that matter) usually don't get paid for posts but they do it anyway, because they want to and they love to. So why not we do it here as well?

Yes, I was thinking the same and if huge number of members start posting then there are many other ways we can make money here like people are doing it on reddit and other forum in which the forum itself doesn't pay a single penny. The main thing is to increase the engagement just like you mentioned. Let's ne optimistic towards this.

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NOTHING I SAY IS FINANCIAL ADVICE. YOU SHOULD USE YOUR MIND ,FOR YOUR MONEY,

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On 7/5/2021 at 1:46 PM, kyoukage01 said:

Then what are you doing here, talking to me with your posts? 😒 You're trying to do a discussion with me, right?

 

I'm taking a neutral approach to this discussion, while you think I'm being too optimistic. If that is what you think, then suit yourself. But try not to make it too personal, like I'm THE only person left on the forum.

 

And you do realize that activities on this forum is not just limited to posting discussions, right? There are also crypto-related announcements by mods we can read (with Google Translate if necessary), although they are currently more active in the Russian section.

 

As for the rest of your comments directed to me on that post (and any more succeeding ones on your next), I'm not going to answer them anymore because we'll only go off-topic and personal at this point. I'm not going to repeat myself, like what you're trying to say.

Discussion should to be interesting right? Hm, why then do I get bored... :classic_dry:

On 7/5/2021 at 1:46 PM, kyoukage01 said:

Yes, that one. Would you mind updating it along with your elaborate analysis and future prospects for the token? At least the forum admins should be able to get some useful feedback from you.

 

Can we get back to the discussion now?

You talking (ask me) about that and you ask me to get back to discussion? :classic_dry:

On 7/5/2021 at 1:46 PM, kyoukage01 said:

So, you think there's no hope after all? Is the following quote nothing but a farce for you? Why do you think so?

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/106294-new-payment-and-rating-system-for-the-forum/?do=findComment&comment=14894956

 

How things looked, no. Two months without update, activity has dropped etc.

But now is different situation, moderator share some info which is promising.

That is it.

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21 hours ago, Ridam said:

NO bro it was longtime back. I am talking about this competition held recently. You can check it out and you will understand clearly what I mean:classic_biggrin::classic_biggrin:.

Oh, that one. Sorry, I was (and still) am too ignorant of the whole Chia thing so I didn't paid any particular attention to that whole section. I still wouldn't like to post there, but at least I should be able to read some info especially Desais' links if I have the time.

 

15 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

You talking (ask me) about that and you ask me to get back to discussion? :classic_dry:

There is a reason why I tried to resolve the other comments first, then put that "Can we get back to the discussion now?" question at the bottom of that post. If I left that question on top of that post first, then that would be truly weird.

 

No further comment on that one.

 

15 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

How things looked, no. Two months without update, activity has dropped etc.

But now is different situation, moderator share some info which is promising.

That is it.

Now at least we all know that the admins/moderators haven't fully abandoned this section yet.

 

We should expect more forum changes in the upcoming months before the 1st anniversary of the TALK token's open trading. Or at least I think so. Because this forum must have something to show to token investors how it's improved and how it's going to reflect on the token price. TALK tokens and this forum are intertwined, after all.

 

Edited by kyoukage01

 

New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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8 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

No further comment on that one.

Thanks, you go too much off topic. You can comment on this topic:

 

8 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Now at least we all know that the admins/moderators haven't fully abandoned this section yet.

 

We should expect more forum changes in the upcoming months before the 1st anniversary of the TALK token's open trading. Or at least I think so. Because this forum must have something to show to token investors how it's improved and how it's going to reflect on the token price. TALK tokens and this forum are intertwined, after all.

 

+1

I been talking about it for a long time, but some members dont understand that obvious.

Every token/coin must to have purpose, and if that is only investbox to get 1% more tokens what can you expect?

Only that price drop, plus there are tokens which members get from forum and that is more pressure on price.

Only thing which can affect good on talk token price is that token get purpose.

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15 hours ago, BullRunBit said:

I been talking about it for a long time, but some members dont understand that obvious.

Every token/coin must to have purpose, and if that is only investbox to get 1% more tokens what can you expect?

Only that price drop, plus there are tokens which members get from forum and that is more pressure on price.

Only thing which can affect good on talk token price is that token get purpose.

1% TALK token interest rate + easy-to-achieve 100 posts to start forum spamming. Yes, the perfect recipe for TALK tokens to plunge down to what it is today. Sad.

 

If drastic measures such as temporarily stopping BTC/token payments in this section and/or increasing the required token investments to the current 123456 investbox would have been done much sooner, the price drop wouldn't have been this grave of a situation. *sigh* It really has to become [1 sat = 1 TALK] before things start moving, huh? Pretty much late at this point, and the chances of the token reaching its first-day trading price level within a couple of years is close to zero. Unless the real solid features of the token like maximum supply value and token-burning are to be publicly shown.

 

Until the token finally reach its desired value, BTC payments for posting probably won't stop (currently for the Russian section, and for the English section should payments here are to be restored). IMO, BTC payments only exist because token price has gone crap at some point.

 

  • +1 1

 

New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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5 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

1% TALK token interest rate + easy-to-achieve 100 posts to start forum spamming. Yes, the perfect recipe for TALK tokens to plunge down to what it is today. Sad.

 

If drastic measures such as temporarily stopping BTC/token payments in this section and/or increasing the required token investments to the current 123456 investbox would have been done much sooner, the price drop wouldn't have been this grave of a situation. *sigh* It really has to become [1 sat = 1 TALK] before things start moving, huh? Pretty much late at this point, and the chances of the token reaching its first-day trading price level within a couple of years is close to zero. Unless the real solid features of the token like maximum supply value and token-burning are to be publicly shown.

 

Until the token finally reach its desired value, BTC payments for posting probably won't stop (currently for the Russian section, and for the English section should payments here are to be restored). IMO, BTC payments only exist because token price has gone crap at some point.

I write about that long time ago, and write some suggestions too like for example to change type of investbox plan. Example, two investbox plans one to be new type (that you can not close) with 1% daily and second old type (you can close) but with only 0.1% daily and maybe some actions like to buy TALK/BTC 10 times (like some other investbox plans) etc. I understand that investbox attracts investors but it would attract them more if talk token have purpose not just investbox.

About price, it is a matter of time when will talk token drop on ETH market. For example, yesterday value of buy wall at 1sat was around 0.16 BTC and currently is around 0.096 BTC.

And interesting thing is that I dont see 24h volume (TALK/BTC) at all (0BTC)...

 

Anyhow, hope that soon something will be changed because this only leads that price drop.

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Friend I was also removed from the payment system but I messages admin & he reconnected.  I think forum admin  will kindly re-enable payments for all good friends in this forum so there will be always hope imho. I'm checking this forum after a long time & I don't see so many members like before. 

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I think so.  The people who work here work in a very nice way.  Because the money that is paid to work here, we can use our family or other work.  So here's what to expect.  It is hoped that where we work we will benefit and that we will be able to achieve success in family and financially.

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Because of some user's payment for english section was stopped from a long time before . i am not used forum's for just payment , we can gain good knowledge about market , we can improve our english skill here , forum keep updates us from new crypto currency launched in market . 


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On 7/3/2021 at 12:31 AM, abualez said:

After we have been removed from the forum campaign, is there any hope of earning bitcoins from this forum?

I think you should have to improve you content in cryptotalk and after that you have to talk with forum admins about restoring your payment . It depends upon the admins .

On 9/30/2021 at 7:38 PM, gourav789 said:

Because of some user's payment for english section was stopped from a long time before . i am not used forum's for just payment , we can gain good knowledge about market , we can improve our english skill here , forum keep updates us from new crypto currency launched in market . 

Yes you are right but lots of member leave the cryptotalk because they are not getting the cryptotalk payment . Now the forum have only 30 to 50 active users . 

If you want to earn you can join the bounty campaign they will pay you . 

I am currently working on HovR signature campaign . You join the campaign in bounty section .

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    • Аналитик, известный под псевдонимом Kaleo, сообщил своим 640 000 подписчикам в запрещённой в России соцсети X (ранее Твиттер), что Dogecoin может вырасти до $1 или даже до $2. По словам эксперта, сейчас рынок криптовалют находится в так называемом суперцикле мемкоинов. Kaleo считает, что криптовалюты, вдохновлённые мемами, уже показывали периоды, когда их стоимость возрастала на 6000% от минимумов и даже на 30 000% от исходных значений. По его словам, потенциальный прорыв DOGE может произойти в период с декабря этого года по февраль 2025 года, но не раньше потенциального спада, в результате которого DOGE вернётся к отметке $0,08 или $0,1, поскольку аналогичный прорыв тренда с просадкой в 30% произошёл в 2020 году. Эксперт указал, что технический индикатор Гауссовского канала (GS), который на недельном графике Dogecoin стал зелёным, является ещё одним доказательством того, что, когда придёт время, курс DOGE невероятно вырастет. Напомним, что за последние несколько месяцев сектор мемкоинов демонстрирует максимальную доходность по сравнению с другими виртуальными активам, что ещё больше привлекает к нему внимания инвесторов и трейдеров. Таким образом, у DOGE, как и других мемкоинов есть шансы на то, чтобы и дальше демонстрировать высокую прибыль на рынке. Источникhttps://ru.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/article-2444960📎 ——————————————————— ОБМЕНЯТЬ  / ПОМОЩЬ  / ОТЗЫВЫ
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    • Forex and Cryptocurrency Forecast for 01 – 05 July 2024 EUR/USD: Inflation in the US – Everything is Going According to Plan   Last week, specifically on Thursday, 27 June, the dollar received support from positive macroeconomic data from the US. The Department of Commerce reported that according to the final estimate, the US GDP grew by 1.4% in Q1, against the forecast of 1.3%. (According to the current Fed forecast, the country's real GDP will expand by 2.1% in 2024). Labour market statistics were also optimistic – the number of initial jobless claims in the US amounted to 233K, lower than both the forecast of 236K and the previous figure of 239K. Durable goods orders did not disappoint either, rising by 0.1% in May against the forecast of a decline of -0.1%. Against this backdrop, the DXY dollar index rose to 106.10, approaching April highs, and EUR/USD dropped to 1.0685.   However, the main events of the week were scheduled for Friday, 28 June, the last trading day of Q2. It is worth noting that the cash flows typical for the end of the quarter and the adjustment of trading positions at this time usually increase market volatility and can even cause chaotic movements in major currency pairs. Additionally, intrigue was added by the fact that on this day, the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the USA was to publish data on the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index for May. This indicator is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge and therefore influences decisions regarding interest rate changes.   According to preliminary estimates, the markets expected that the core index would decrease from 2.8% to 2.6% year-on-year and from 0.3% to 0.1% month-on-month. If this forecast were to come true, it would have strengthened expectations of an imminent easing of the American regulator's monetary policy. On the eve of the publication, market participants predicted that the first Fed rate cut would occur in September, with another one in November or December.   However, there was also an alternative scenario. On Wednesday, 26 June, Fed Board member Michelle Bowman stated that if the disinflation process in the US stalls, the regulator would have no choice but to resume tightening policy (QT).   The actual figures matched the forecasts exactly – core PCE decreased from 2.8% to 2.6% year-on-year and from 0.3% to 0.1% month-on-month. It is obvious that this result was already priced in, so it did not produce a "wow" effect on market participants, and after a brief dip, DXY returned to current levels.   The dollar was also supported by the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, Mary Daly, who commented on the PCE data: "The Fed has not yet made a decision, but the PCE data is good news. [...] There is evidence that policy is sufficiently tight. [...] It takes more time for the policy to work. [...] If inflation remains stable or decreases slowly, rates will have to be raised longer."   As for the European Central Bank (ECB), unlike its overseas counterpart, it has already started the easing process (QE). At its meeting on 06 June, it already lowered the euro rate by 25 basis points (b.p.) to 4.25%. And as ECB representative Olli Rehn stated on 26 June, the market forecast for two more rate cuts in 2024 seems "reasonable". These words from Rehn signalled tolerance towards inflation spikes in the Eurozone, which is a negative factor for the common European currency.   The final point of the week, month, and quarter was set by the EUR/USD pair at 1.0713. The analyst forecast for the near future as of the evening of 28 June is as follows: 65% of expert votes were given for the pair's decline, 20% for its growth, and another 15% remained neutral. In technical analysis, 80% of trend indicators on D1 sided with the dollar and turned red, while 20% preferred the euro. Among oscillators, 75% were on the dollar's side, with the remaining 25% taking a neutral position. The nearest support for the pair is located in the zone of 1.0665-1.0670, followed by 1.0600-1.0615, 1.0565, 1.0495-1.0515, 1.0450, and 1.0370. Resistance zones are found around 1.0740-1.0760, then 1.0815, 1.0850, 1.0890-1.0915, 1.0945, 1.0980-1.1010, 1.1050, and 1.1100-1.1140.   The upcoming week will be rich in macroeconomic statistics. On Monday, 01 July and Tuesday, 02 July, preliminary data on such an important indicator as the consumer price index (CPI) in Germany and the Eurozone will be released, respectively. Speeches by ECB President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chair Jerome Powell are also scheduled for 01 and 02 July. In addition, on Monday and Wednesday, business activity indicators (PMI) in various sectors of the US economy will be known. But this is not the end of the flow of important information. Late in the evening of 03 July, the minutes of the last FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting of the Fed will be published. On Wednesday, 03 July, and Friday, 05 July, we will be flooded with statistics from the US labour market, including the unemployment rate and the number of new jobs created outside the agricultural sector (NFP). Traders should also keep in mind that 03 July is a short day in the US, and 04 July is a full holiday as the country celebrates Independence Day. And looking a bit further ahead, we remind you that early parliamentary elections will be held in France on Sunday, 07 July, the result of which could greatly affect the common European currency.   GBP/USD: Focus – On 04 July Elections   General parliamentary elections will be held not only in France but also in the United Kingdom, scheduled for Thursday, 04 July. Announcing this event, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak stated that he is proud of the "achievements of his government [Conservatives]". "Economic stability is the foundation of any success," he added, noting that the UK economy is still growing and inflation has returned to normal levels.   Despite Sunak's assurances, in May 2024, the monitoring company Ipsos reported that 84% of the population are "dissatisfied with how the government is managing the country". Current election forecasts based on public opinion polls show that 21.3% may vote for the Conservatives, 41.9% for their opponents, the Labour Party, and the rest for other parties.   It must be noted that the government of Rishi Sunak has several real achievements. On 19 June, data on consumer inflation (CPI) was published, and overall, the picture turned out to be quite good. The consumer price index month-on-month remained at the previous level of 0.3%, lower than the forecasted 0.4%. Year-on-year, the CPI decreased from 2.3% to 2.0%, reaching the Bank of England's (BoE) target for the first time since October 2021. The core index (Core CPI), which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, also showed a significant decrease from 3.9% to 3.5% year-on-year.   According to the report from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), presenting the final data on 28 June for Q1 2024, the UK economy grew by 0.7%, higher than the previous value and forecast of 0.6%. Year-on-year, real growth was 0.3%, exceeding the previous value and expectation of 0.2%. This was the best dynamic since Q4 2021.   If the UK parliamentary elections on 04 July and the inflation report on 17 July do not bring significant surprises, the markets predict that the BoE will start lowering rates at its nearest meeting on 01 August. According to ING bank strategists, "we still forecast that the Bank of England will start lowering rates in August and will begin to signal this in its speeches as soon as the general elections on 04 July are over". In their opinion, the likelihood of rate cuts by the Bank of England is much higher than those by the Fed, which will put pressure on the pound sterling. TDS company analysts, on the other hand, give the following forecast: "We believe a rate cut of 15 b.p. is expected in August, and about 50 b.p. in total for 2024". In several other market participant forecasts, it is also mentioned that by November, the reduction could be around 30 b.p.   GBP/USD ended the past five-day period exactly where it started – at 1.2644. The analyst forecast ahead of the parliamentary elections is unequivocal – 100% side with the dollar and expect the British currency to weaken. Regarding technical analysis on D1, there is also a clear advantage on the dollar's side. Trend indicators are in favour of the dollar at 65% to 35% red to green. Oscillators are 100% pointing south, with 20% signalling the pair is oversold. In case of further decline, the pair's levels and support zones are 1.2610-1.2620, 1.2540, 1.2445-1.2465, 1.2405, 1.2300-1.2330. In case of the pair's growth, it will meet resistance at levels 1.2675, 1.2700, 1.2740-1.2760, 1.2800-1.2820, 1.2860-1.2895, 1.2965-1.2995, 1.3040, and 1.3130-1.3140.   As for the events of the upcoming week, all investor attention is focused on the elections on 04 July. The next important event, as mentioned, will be the publication of the fresh inflation report in the United Kingdom on 17 July.   USD/JPY: Another Peak Conquered   Last week, 75% of analysts expecting new currency interventions voted for the USD/JPY pair's retreat south, while the remaining 25% pointed north. The minority, as is often the case with the Japanese currency, turned out to be right: no interventions occurred, and the pair reached another peak – 161.28.   Frankly, there's nothing to comment on here – everything has been discussed dozens and hundreds of times. The problem of the yen's weakening lies in the ultra-loose monetary policy of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). And as long as it does not decisively turn towards tightening, the national currency will continue to lose its positions. Of course, for a while, the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank can support its exchange rate with currency interventions. But spending billions and billions on something that disappears like ripples on water after a few days – is there any point in that? Can this be called monetary policy?   If inflation falls in major competing countries, in Japan, it rises. According to data published on Friday, 28 June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Tokyo for the year ending in June rose to 2.3% compared to 2.2% for the previous period. The core CPI inflation (excluding volatile food prices) also increased to 2.1% year-on-year, which is higher than both the forecast of 2.0% and the previous value of 1.9%. Another core CPI index for Tokyo (excluding food and energy prices) decreased in June to 1.8% year-on-year compared to the previous value of 2.2%.   Of course, these are not jumps that warrant sounding a loud alarm – all indicators are "hovering" around the target 2.0%. This allows Japanese officials to pause, without changing the vector of their monetary policy, and to limit themselves to verbal "interventions". Thus, Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki once again stated that he is "deeply concerned about excessive and unilateral movements in the Forex market" and expressed hope that "trust in the Japanese currency is maintained". Suzuki's colleague, Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi, delivered almost the same speech word for word. However, he added that the authorities "will take appropriate measures regarding excessive currency movements", hinting at another currency intervention.   This hint from Yoshimasa Hayashi scared 60% of experts who voted for the pair's southward movement and yen strengthening, 20% pointed north, and 20% took a neutral position. The opinion of the indicators is unambiguous, as they have never heard of interventions. Therefore, all 100% of trend indicators and oscillators on D1 are green, although a quarter of the latter are in the overbought zone. The nearest support level is around 160.25, followed by 159.20, 158.65, 157.60-157.80, 156.60, 155.45-155.70, 154.50-154.70, 153.60, 153.00, 151.90-152.15, 150.80-151.00. The nearest resistance is in the 160.85 zone, followed by 161.30 and 162.50.   In the upcoming week, the calendar highlights Monday, 01 July. On this day, the Tankan Large Manufacturers Index will be published. No other important macro statistics regarding the state of the Japanese economy are planned for the coming days.   CRYPTOCURRENCIES: Causes and Consequences of "Black Monday" on 24 June     Monday, 24 June, presented investors with a very unpleasant surprise – on this day, bitcoin's price fell below $60,000 for the first time since 03 May, reaching $58,468 at one point. Ethereum, in turn, fell below $3,250. Analysts highlight several reasons for the active sell-offs, noting that they reflect overall instability in global financial markets and uncertainty about monetary and regulatory policies in several leading countries, especially China and the US. However, there are also more specific factors that contributed to the development of the bearish trend.   In mid-June, the German government began selling off a huge amount of bitcoins (about 50,000 BTC) confiscated in January. Panic sentiment sharply intensified after the announcement on 24 June that creditor payments for the bankrupt crypto exchange Mt.Gox would begin in early July. The total amount of funds to be distributed among former clients is 162,100 BTC, roughly $10 billion. Bitcoin responded to this news with an 8% drop. It’s no surprise – such a volume of coins flooding the free market can seriously knock down prices. In the derivatives market, long positions worth $177 million were forcibly liquidated, and the total financing rate for futures contracts turned negative for the first time in June, indicating that sales exceeded purchases.   It is precisely on the expectations of Mt.Gox debt payments that the flagship crypto asset's quotes reached the lowest level in the past eight weeks last Monday. In this situation, two things are encouraging. Firstly, the deadline for repayment falls on 31 October, and it's possible that payments will be made in parts over four months rather than all at once. And secondly, there is hope that not all creditors will rush to convert their bitcoins into fiat, but will hold onto them, hoping for price growth.   In addition to the above, BTC miners exerted some downward pressure on the market. It became known that their coin reserves reached a 14-year low, as they had to sell a significant amount of BTC due to the April halving to cover operational expenses. Recall that the cost of mining bitcoin, according to JPMorgan analysts, is $53,000. Historically, this cost level is a strong support for BTC/USD. However, even in March, JPMorgan did not rule out that after the halving, bitcoin could temporarily fall to $42,000.   In the absence of positive signals, the demand for spot bitcoin ETFs continues to decline, major market participants slow down their activity, and start to take profits. This also pressures the prices. CEO of investment company CryptoQuant Ki Young Ju calculated that over the past two weeks, bitcoin whales and miners set a record by selling coins worth $1.2 billion.   According to 10x Research, all last week, US spot BTC ETFs recorded investor outflows, and on 21 June, net outflow exceeded $105 million. 10x Research believes that bitcoin will now need to find a new price range to stabilize the decline and then find growth catalysts. In the medium term, according to 10x Research analysts, it is not worth expecting BTC to return above $70,000.   Popular analyst Matthew Hyland noted that the combined bitcoin balance on centralized exchanges reached a multi-year low. In theory, this could be seen as a bullish signal, but the crypto market leader is not yet eager to show an upward trend. Naturally, the publication of key US economic data could serve as a vector for further cryptocurrency movements. If the Fed takes its first step in easing its monetary policy in September, it could support risky assets, including bitcoin. According to Cryptology experts, the chances of bitcoin reaching a new all-time high by the end of September are quite high, and what is happening now is a phase of accumulation.   Despite the current decline, many investors remain optimistic, citing the cyclical nature of the crypto market. They also do not forget about the US elections. For example, former Goldman Sachs CEO Raoul Pal predicted significant bitcoin and cryptocurrency market growth in Q4 2024. In an episode of The Wolf Of All Streets podcast, the financier noted that risky assets like bitcoin usually rally against the backdrop of US presidential elections. "The final quarter of an election year is a real 'banana zone' for all assets. It always is," Pal optimistically stated, noting that the "banana zone" for cryptocurrencies in autumn is much more pronounced than, for example, for the Nasdaq index.   Bitcoin was also supported by billionaire Michael Saylor. His company, MicroStrategy, is one of the largest bitcoin holders in the world, with 205,000 BTC on its balance sheet. Despite the negative trend, it increased its reserves by another 11,931 BTC (over $700 million) in the past month alone. Saylor is convinced of the first cryptocurrency's ability to grow to $10 million with support from China and other factors. He believes that in the future, governments, especially China, will fully embrace the first cryptocurrency and integrate it into the state infrastructure. The entrepreneur declared all pre-bitcoin economic instruments obsolete. "Before Satoshi Nakamoto, economics was a pseudoscience. All economists before Satoshi tried to develop economic laws with shells, glass beads, pieces of paper, and credit instruments," the businessman wrote, calling bitcoin a "perfect asset."   In previous reviews, we already wrote that the launch of exchange-traded spot ETFs on Ethereum could give a certain boost to the digital asset market. On 25 June, SEC (US Securities and Exchange Commission) Chairman Gary Gensler noted that the registration process for new ETFs is "going smoothly," and the approval date depends on how quickly applicants submit adjusted S-1 forms. Bloomberg analysts call 02 July the expected approval date for new products. Reuters, citing anonymous sources, reports that a consensus has been reached between fund managers and the SEC in negotiations, and only the "final touches" remain.   Co-founder of venture company Mechanism Capital Andrew Kang stated that after the approval of ETH-ETF, Ethereum's rate could correct by 30%, falling to $2,400. In his opinion, at this stage, the main altcoin attracts much less attention from institutional investors compared to bitcoin. Based on this, ETH-ETF will attract only 15% of funds compared to what BTC-ETF received at the start.   Kang noted that to increase Ethereum's attractiveness among investors, its ecosystem needs to be positioned as a decentralized financial settlement layer, a global computer, or a Web3 application store. At the same time, it will be difficult to sell new ideas for Ethereum's application to funds, as the asset is perceived by investors as an overvalued stock of a large technology company.   Significantly more positively views the future of Ethereum Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, a company managing cryptocurrency funds. In his opinion, the appearance of a long-awaited exchange product is undoubtedly a positive factor, and the net inflow of investments into ETH-ETF over the first 18 months will amount to $15 billion. In his analysis, he relies on the experience of Canada and the EU, where in similar products the inflow ratio for Ethereum and Bitcoin is approximately 1 to 4 (i.e., 25%). In other words, if in the first quarter of work for spot Bitcoin-ETF the total inflow was $26.9 billion, for Ethereum it is expected to be at the level of $6.7 billion. In this case, in three months of work, the leading altcoin could rise to $4,400-5,000.   CEO of SkyBridge Capital Anthony Scaramucci believes that the price of Ethereum could rise even higher, reaching $10,000-12,000. Regarding bitcoin, the entrepreneur allows for its growth to $170,000-250,000. The main driver, in his opinion, will be the further institutional acceptance of cryptocurrency. Scaramucci called the approval of spot exchange ETFs an important regulatory barrier breakthrough for attracting new capital. Thanks to this, in his opinion, the share of digital gold in the portfolios of major players will soon be about 3%.   As of the evening of Friday, 28 June, BTC/USD is trading at $60,190, and ETH/USD is in the $3,390 zone. The total crypto market capitalization is $2.24 trillion ($2.34 trillion a week ago). The bitcoin Fear & Greed Index (Crypto Fear & Greed Index) has dropped from 63 to 47 points over the past 7 days, moving from the Greed zone to the Neutral zone.   In conclusion, here is another observation from Matt Hougan. The CIO of Bitwise presented three reasons why long-term investments in both bitcoin and Ethereum are more advantageous compared to investing only in bitcoin. These are: 1. portfolio diversification 2. the opportunity to earn on very different ecosystems and 3. economic benefit.   Considering the difference in the capitalization levels of bitcoin and Ethereum, Hougan believes that 75% of the capital should be invested in BTC and 25% in ETH. According to calculations, over the period from May 2020 to May 2024, the yield of such an investment portfolio is 3% per annum higher than one that only contains bitcoin. However, Hougan acknowledges that in the shorter term, a portfolio including 100% BTC outperforms a diversified one. Moreover, investing only in bitcoin carries fewer risks due to its higher market capitalization and features such as limited coin issuance and a phased reduction in the inflation rate to zero.   NordFX Analytical Group   Notice: These materials are not investment recommendations or guidelines for working in financial markets and are intended for informational purposes only. Trading in financial markets is risky and can result in a complete loss of deposited funds.   #eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #btcusd #ethusd #ltcusd #xrpusd #forex #forex_example #signals #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #stock_market   https://nordfx.com/ 
    • Добрый день, уважаемые пользователи! Пожалуйста, обратите внимание! У нас произошла смена контактов Telegram, по причине - предотвращения появлений фейков, прошлое имя пользователя было слишком длинное и была высокая возможность изменить несколько символов и визуальные отличий не было бы. По этому мы создали "имя пользователя" максимально коротким и простым. Прежние контакты "имя пользователя" - @Finansovich_exchange (Больше не актуальны!) Действующие (новые) контакты "имя пользователя" - @fin_exc (Актуальны!) Пожалуйста, будьте внимательны, переходите по прямой ссылке которая указана в топике, помните-что мы не обрабатываем заявки в Telegram, все заявки обрабатываются исключительно через наш сайт!
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