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Whited35

Crypto Fear and Greed Index (CFGI)

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On 2/3/2021 at 12:49 PM, Crpto❤️ said:

if I want to succeed in a field of life we have to overcome our emotions.

Fear and greed if human nature, how can you overcome your emotion while performing the trades? 

6 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

That uncertainty sure was short-lived. I was expecting BTC to dip to at least ~$20,000 but it held on to ~$30,000 like a rabid bulldog.

Lol, $20K mark resistance for BTC is just daydream for me now 😃. K it is approaching to another ATH $60K MARK? Bullrun is inspiring crypto market to follow uptrend here. 

6 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

You may want to edit this bit though, I can no longer click on the image to direct me to that website 😞 .

And also, a line saying "Check out the latest posts for market analyses using the CFGI chart" or something like that.

Thanks mate, it is fixed now 😜!

 

 

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On 2/7/2021 at 4:16 PM, Whited35 said:

Lol, $20K mark resistance for BTC is just daydream for me now 😃. K it is approaching to another ATH $60K MARK? Bullrun is inspiring crypto market to follow uptrend here. 

With the recent revelation in the SEC that the company Tesla bought around $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, the coin rose to the current ~$46,000. And I don't even have to look at the CFGI chart this time to guess that the rating is once again well over 90+ 😁 .

 

Well now, whadd'ya know? Another big announcement like that one to quickly follow up, and BTC might indeed reach $60,000 within this month alone.

 

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On 2/9/2021 at 9:17 AM, kyoukage01 said:

With the recent revelation in the SEC that the company Tesla bought around $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, the coin rose to the current ~$46,000. And I don't even have to look at the CFGI chart this time to guess that the rating is once again well over 90+ 😁 .

Value is repeatedly above 90 over the few days and it may last for a while because rumor says, another tech giant Oracle is also proceeding to purchase a huge amounts of Bitcoins. Extreme greed !

On 2/9/2021 at 9:17 AM, kyoukage01 said:

Well now, whadd'ya know? Another big announcement like that one to quickly follow up, and BTC might indeed reach $60,000 within this month alone.

More likely. This bullish trend has capability to boost Bitcoin's price to the $60K mark 😁. Surprisingly, altcoins like Litecoin has not made the significant momentum in the market. 

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21 hours ago, Whited35 said:

Value is repeatedly above 90 over the few days and it may last for a while because rumor says, another tech giant Oracle is also proceeding to purchase a huge amounts of Bitcoins. Extreme greed !

IMO, the move by big companies to invest in crypto has made a new side effect: old whales are now afraid to dump the market, especially with BTC, at this time 😂😂🤣 . They know that if they try the old move where they "dump the market, buy coins when crashed, wait for market recovery, then rinse and repeat," big companies like Oracle(?) are waiting for them 🤑 . With them out of the picture, only major negative news and a bit of market correction can lower the price of BTC now.

 

21 hours ago, Whited35 said:

Surprisingly, altcoins like Litecoin has not made the significant momentum in the market. 

XRP is slowly making a comeback though. The news that Ripple will fight back the SEC's lawsuit has boosted crypto users' confidence in the coin a bit, but only a court decision giving the "Not Guilty" verdict can restore XRP to its pre-crisis levels.

 

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On 2/11/2021 at 8:18 AM, kyoukage01 said:

IMO, the move by big companies to invest in crypto has made a new side effect: old whales are now afraid to dump the market, especially with BTC, at this time 😂😂🤣 .

Altcoin season is on the way and Bitcoin is approaching to $60K, oh no everything is looking miracle 🤣! If Micro Strategy again repurchases another billion worth Bitcoin, price might get spiked to $60K mark. Locate the current CFGI value, above 90 over the few weeks ! 

On 2/11/2021 at 8:18 AM, kyoukage01 said:

XRP is slowly making a comeback though.

Those who are cashing out by selling their holdings, probably they have found XRP, BNB and Litecoin are the best option to convert, track their price, dramatic comeback  😜

On 2/14/2021 at 2:18 PM, Rabiu Dallatu said:

Thank you so much friend for sharing this wonderful and unique information with the members of this platform most precisely the new members who are not use to the cryptocurrency world, this article will surely help a lot, very nice topic dude. 

Alright, there is rating feature to show appreciations, in this thread we expect your genuine ideas based on CFGI index not just the words of appreciations 🙏 !

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On 2/19/2021 at 10:49 AM, Whited35 said:

Those who are cashing out by selling their holdings, probably they have found XRP, BNB and Litecoin are the best option to convert, track their price, dramatic comeback  😜

I've checked XRP, BNB and LTC monthly chart on Yobit and among the three, XRP haven't made any major changes. Unlike both BNB and LTC which had prices plummeted right about this weekend. No dramatic comeback at this time IMO.

 

On 2/19/2021 at 10:49 AM, Whited35 said:

Altcoin season is on the way and Bitcoin is approaching to $60K, oh no everything is looking miracle 🤣! If Micro Strategy again repurchases another billion worth Bitcoin, price might get spiked to $60K mark. Locate the current CFGI value, above 90 over the few weeks !

If Micro Strategy or another big company buys more Bitcoin, they're not going to tell us 😅 . Rather, we'll get surprised when news goes out that they've already bought. Who knows, maybe some big entity is already purchasing cheaper BTC as we speak, now that its price is starting to go down. Remember that Musk and Tesla didn't tell us via Twitter either, it was only when they submitted their SEC form where we learned about it.

 

Still waiting for the day where CFGI values display neutral for at least one week. Altcoins need to catch up, BTC needs to stabilize too.

 

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3 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

No dramatic comeback at this time IMO.

Pump was massive in case of BNB due to increasing DeFi activities on the Panicakeswap(The platform based on the Binance Smart Chain). In that sense, I just considered the move of BNB price as a dramatic comeback otherwise no problem 😁😜!

3 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Still waiting for the day where CFGI values display neutral for at least one week. Altcoins need to catch up, BTC needs to stabilize too.

76 value for CFGI today that means fear is at the peak due to suspicious activities based on USDT. Majority of investors would remain in FOMO and surprisingly, USDT price is dropped to $84 now 😂

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"Be greedy when others are fearful, be fearful when others are greedy". Great quote to fit this interesting post. Be careful with your trades and take profits. Don't invest anything you can't lose.

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On 2/25/2021 at 1:07 PM, Waqasbutt said:

I think cfgi is a golden opportunity for the lovers and buyers of this currency. As those whom want to buy crypto on lower rates can find here the people whom have fear of losing their crypto and they can buy from them on easy rates and those whom have greed of profit they can also sell to those whom want to invest in buying cryptos.

As @Whited35 has said multiple times in this topic, even beginner traders (like me) can benefit greatly from the CFGI chart. But still, remember that the CFGI chart is but one of the many tools a trader can use at his disposal.

 

On 2/24/2021 at 3:15 PM, Whited35 said:

76 value for CFGI today that means fear is at the peak due to suspicious activities based on USDT. Majority of investors would remain in FOMO and surprisingly, USDT price is dropped to $84 now 😂

What kind of suspicious activity with USDT? Care to explain, please? 😃

 

CFGI chart is almost near the neutral range now, and is reflected on BTC's steady decline. Which I think is necessary, because the market correction has been way overdue. Let's see what will happen in the following days, then have it discussed in the next monthly update 🙂 .

 

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10 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

What kind of suspicious activity with USDT? Care to explain, please? 😃

The report suggests Tether and Bitfinex made the false claiming regarding the real USD backing for Tether(USDT). Check this report https://decrypt.co/58719/bitfinex-tether-must-stop-trading-in-new-york-and-pay-18-5-million-fine . Those who converted other volatile assets into Tether(USDT) were rushing away to cash our convert into other stablecoins that's why history high, more than $13B dip was seen in the cryptocurrency markets. I think bigger institutions are in the real FOMO now 🤣


 

 

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Cryptocurrency Market Monthly Updates Based-on CGFI(Feb3-Mar 1,2021):-

Quick enough😉 ? One month gone. Here is the monthly update and analysis based on CFGI. On February 3, the CFGI index value was 78 (greed) which means the market was still bullish for Bitcoin and other popular altcoins. For the last month, the lowest CFGI value is 38 on Mar 1(today), and the cryptocurrency market is already crashed as Bitcoin is finding a base price of around $43K. The highest value of CFGI was seen at 95 on 9th Feb and the market was following the bullish trend. The month of February is also memorable for us as Bitcoin reached ATH of  $58,330. Have a look at the following graph for CFGI values. 

1612308497_Screenshot-2021-03-01T151916_777.thumb.png.10352d11b095adda9b580b684728fe3e.png

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Just a couple of days ago, the CFGI chart recorded a fear value for the second time this year (first time was at Jan. 22), but now it displays a value of 78. Market correction is short-lived as BTC price starts to rise again. Talk about fast recovery 😅 .

Spoiler

image.png.667f5955497e34d9d928bf45fb12f4b5.png

Do you suppose another big company bought Bitcoins while it got cheaper yesterday, like Tesla supposedly did last January? 🙂

 

On 2/27/2021 at 10:27 PM, Whited35 said:

The report suggests Tether and Bitfinex made the false claiming regarding the real USD backing for Tether(USDT). Check this report https://decrypt.co/58719/bitfinex-tether-must-stop-trading-in-new-york-and-pay-18-5-million-fine . Those who converted other volatile assets into Tether(USDT) were rushing away to cash our convert into other stablecoins that's why history high, more than $13B dip was seen in the cryptocurrency markets. I think bigger institutions are in the real FOMO now 🤣

I've read the article, thanks. I've always had a hunch that USDT doesn't really have the backing it claims to have, but took a serious investigation to prove it. A court settlement by Tether and Bitfinex can be seen as a way to prevent further encroachment and damage to the coin and the companies involved.

 

And with this news, investors moved to other coins, predictably so. Any other stablecoin aside from USDT you think they've moved on to? Ones with not so much controversy like Tether does?

 

Spoiler

 

Come to think of it: about stablecoins, I just realized that we don't have a topic here defining the basic information about it.

https://cryptotalk.org/search/?q=stablecoin&type=forums_topic&updated_after=any&sortby=newest&search_in=titles

A quick search proves it. Maybe this week or the next I'll go ahead and create one.

 

 

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https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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2 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Do you suppose another big company bought Bitcoins while it got cheaper yesterday, like Tesla supposedly did last January? 🙂

Of course, yes. Additionally, Coinbase going to be publicly soon check https://www.coindesk.com/coinbase-going-public and the steps taken from Coinbase might also inspire the bullish markets. Some bigger institutions would definitely love to purchase Bitcoin in the dip and they might hold the currency for a long time. 

2 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

And with this news, investors moved to other coins, predictably so. Any other stablecoin aside from USDT you think they've moved on to? Ones with not so much controversy like Tether does?

Yes, BUSD from BSC and USDC from coinbase were highly demanded after that incident based on USDT. Stablecoin DAI is also following 1:1 ratio with USD but the backing mechanism is quite different i.e. backed by ether and stability is maintained by smart contract. 

2 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Come to think of it: about stablecoins, I just realized that we don't have a topic here defining the basic information about it.

This time, I am expecting the masterpiece from your end 😜

Edited by Whited35
Minor error in texts.
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I had no knowledge of this tool to determine the over purchase or sale of any cryptocurrency or token in the market, if this information could be used many traders would explore it and get the most out of it, but greed is bad for an investor, it blinds him Of all its possibilities and this is the worst there is, you must have a perfect balance between winning and losing so that the trader does not have altives in the market and consequently in operations.

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20 hours ago, Pereira said:

I had no knowledge of this tool to determine the over purchase or sale of any cryptocurrency or token in the market, if this information could be used many traders would explore it and get the most out of it,

@Pereira  Crypto Fear and Greed Index(CFGI) can be used by novice to pro trader due to its simplicity. It just exhibits the value and you can easily determine the markets' psychology-based on the CFGI value.

20 hours ago, Pereira said:

but greed is bad for an investor, it blinds him Of all its possibilities

Just excessive greed can be a problem but some sort of greed will be there for majority of crypto traders because trading is done to expect the profits. In CFGI, two terms Greed and Fear are used as the symbolic representation of market's situations i.e. Bullish or bearish. 

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3 hours ago, Whited35 said:

@Pereira  Crypto Fear and Greed Index(CFGI) can be used by novice to pro trader due to its simplicity. It just exhibits the value and you can easily determine the markets' psychology-based on the CFGI value.

Just excessive greed can be a problem but some sort of greed will be there for majority of crypto traders because trading is done to expect the profits. In CFGI, two terms Greed and Fear are used as the symbolic representation of market's situations i.e. Bullish or bearish. 

Thanks partner for explaining this way to trade in detail, and I give you the reason that each trader has a type of greed, low, but it does not influence the system of relationship with trade. This means that we must have a low greed so as not to lose our assets in an absurd way, therefore with this kind of greed we can grow in trade, and now I understand it thanks to your comment partner @Whited35 thank you for that.

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38 minutes ago, Pereira said:

Thanks partner for explaining this way to trade in detail, and I give you the reason that each trader has a type of greed, low, but it does not influence the system of relationship with trade. This means that we must have a low greed so as not to lose our assets in an absurd way, therefore with this kind of greed we can grow in trade, and now I understand it thanks to your comment partner @Whited35 thank you for that.

No worries and let me add crucial points which you still need to take care 😉. Greed indicates how the majority of traders roll out to purchase the crypto in the cryptocurrency markets. It does not matter how greedy you are to place the buying orders, majority of greed can only influence markets to follow the bullish trend. So CFGI  index is calculated by locating the overall markets' sentiments and historical data.  


 

 

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Whoah, 1 BTC broke the $60,000 barrier already!!? And with CFGI only at 78!!?

Spoiler

image.png.5f7d01f8ee12f51538703c133a3994fe.png

image.thumb.png.52df222c9753dc6b139ec10efd5ac283.png

 

Despite recent developments on crypto exchanges like Binance coming under heavy fire, BTC is still on the rise. Some other factor must be behind it. I took a quick search, and from a website I got this link:

https://www.thestreet.com/crypto/bitcoin/norwegian-oil-mogul-launches-58-million-bitcoin-unit-to-become-hodler

 

Did this increased demand from the company Aker ASA enough to push the price higher? Or are there other factors? Because if this keeps up, BTC might even reach $70,000 before the end of March.

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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26 minutes ago, kyoukage01 said:

Whoah, 1 BTC broke the $60,000 barrier already!!? And with CFGI only at 78!!?

Bitcoin is following the bullish trend but other altcoins have not made the significant raise that can be the reason to exhibit 78  value. 

27 minutes ago, kyoukage01 said:

Did this increased demand from the company Aker ASA enough to push the price higher? Or are there other factors? Because if this keeps up, BTC might even reach $70,000 before the end of March.

Bitcoin can be seen an extreme bullish due to other factors too like: Biden's  stimulus package, common psychology of the traders to think the bullish markets due to so many exciting news, increasing retailor investors, etc. all can be the reasons to push Bitcoin to the another ATH. 

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23 hours ago, Whited35 said:

Biden's  stimulus package

Ah yes, the US' planned stimulus package for economic relief from the pandemic's effects.

https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3125347/bitcoin-passes-us60000-first-time-people-collect-us

Out of the planned $1.9 trillion in stimulus checks, I wonder how many percentage of it will go into investing on cryptocurrencies?

 

23 hours ago, Whited35 said:

common psychology of the traders to think the bullish markets due to so many exciting news

There are also many recent negative news in the crypto world lately, and I think that was reflected in the 78 CFGI rating on my last post instead of over 90 especially now that BTC broke into the $60,000 ATH. I guess those negative news wasn't enough to dampen the enthusiasm on crypto 😅 .

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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6 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

Out of the planned $1.9 trillion in stimulus checks, I wonder how many percentage of it will go into investing on cryptocurrencies?

I guess average people invest at least 50% of the amount if they received from the government as it is promised to provide stimulus pack because their financial activities should have already started after a cooldown of COVID-19 pandemic. 

6 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

There are also many recent negative news in the crypto world lately, and I think that was reflected in the 78 CFGI rating on my last post instead of over 90 especially now that BTC broke into the $60,000 ATH.

Lol, more than 7% slump(At the time of writing) ! Oh no what the hell is happening there 😁? I am sorting out the responsible news now. 

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On 3/15/2021 at 7:17 PM, Whited35 said:

Lol, more than 7% slump(At the time of writing) ! Oh no what the hell is happening there 😁? I am sorting out the responsible news now. 

Ten days after your post and BTC is still in a slump.

Spoiler

image.png.989a65187322127b6a676b86d5586fbd.png

CFGI index is displaying a 65 rating, still at the greed range. But take a good look at the chart included in this post and I think it is safe for me to say that the BTC price has flatlined to the $40,000-$60,000 range for more than a month now.

 

Compared to last year where the the daily difference of BTC prices during a bear season ranges from mere hundreds of dollars, today even a slight movement of the BTC market can range to a thousand dollars or more. But has the BTC market really entered its bearish phase already, since the $60,000 resistance is getting hard to beat?

 

Spoiler
On 3/3/2021 at 2:40 PM, Whited35 said:

This time, I am expecting the masterpiece from your end 😜

I forgot to tell you that there was an article made in January this year about stablecoins which I just recently found out.

https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-stablecoins-and-4-types-of-stablecoins/

Whatever topic about stablecoins I may come up with, it won't be a masterpiece, just a compilation. 😄 

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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9 hours ago, kyoukage01 said:

But has the BTC market really entered its bearish phase already, since the $60,000 resistance is getting hard to beat?

Exactly, yeah because world is preparing to face the so-called second wave of Covid-19 as the news is already bearish to impact the market. Some Tweets from bigger figure may also affect the prices as the common sentiments can be deviated thinking like bigger institutions are selling their holdings. In EU, most of the countries are again preparing for the strict lockdown and of course it can affect the price of Bitcoin too but altcoins like ETH can be seen bullish, let's see what happens 😁

9 hours ago, Simons said:

Well this can be conceivable if the institutional investors sell their bitcoin property, yet I don't think this would be conceivable at any point in the near future, and if bitcoin cost will fall, I figure it will initially arrive at record-breaking high before such would occur.

What is the direction of your post? 

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Cryptocurrency Market Monthly Updates Based-on CGFI(March 3- April 1,2021):-

Guys, this is April first, but do not think, I am fooling you with the false CFGI based monthly update 😁 ! Well, on March 3rd, CFGI value was 78 it means greed was there and market was following bullish trend. The highest CFGI value for this month is 84 and it was seen on 4rth of March and price of Bitcoin was just around $48K and investors were accommodating the Bitcoin to expect profits off it later. The lowest CFGI value 54 was seen on 26 March and value of Bitcoin was around $56K and investors were experiencing fears to sell their holdings and most of the top altcoins were also affected. Now, it's 1st of April and CFGI value is 74, we have some signs of bullish markets. Cheers 😉 !

56403994_Screenshot(16).thumb.png.2b28620f35baa45e21102babc50e6122.png

 


 

 

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On 4/1/2021 at 12:59 PM, Whited35 said:

Now, it's 1st of April and CFGI value is 74, we have some signs of bullish markets. Cheers 😉 !

Despite the nearly consistent greed values in the chart (even today), the crypto market's bullish trend from your previous analysis seems to have slowed down today. BTC is still struggling to break the $60,000 resistance, and other major altcoins are now experiencing some sort of correction as well.

Spoiler

image.thumb.png.26bbec54c02f066b31ed00a9fd40de0c.png

 

On 4/1/2021 at 10:56 PM, Ghaziosman said:

Great post, it is a valuable instruction, I don't know about it,but it is a very secure and complete sharing information with uus,I need learn about it because without reading and learning not knowing any topic.

Sure, go ahead and take your time reading through the previous pages in this topic.

 

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    • Эксперты связывают коррекцию с продажами на фондовом рынке, укреплением доллара и страхом инвесторов из-за замедления падения ставки ФРС.
    • Вера в рост BTC и ETH падает: эксперт ссылается на метрики опционов, которые прямо на это указывают   Трейдер Гордон Грант уверен, что значительное снижение подразумеваемой волатильности (IV - Implied Volatility) базовых опционов ATM «на деньгах» на Биткоин и Эфириум наиболее точно отражает настроение трейдеров. Он считает, что данная ситуация указывает на существенное снижение веры трейдеров в рост цен на ведущие криптовалюты в ближайшее время. Мнение Гранта опубликовало издание The Block.   Согласно представленным трейдером метрикам, где он сравнивает изменения цен на недельные и месячные контракты на опционы ETH, видно что  ATM c конца апреля буквально рухнула на 30% (с 88% до 58%).   BTC ATM обвалилась в тех же пропорциях. Изменение стоимости страйка опциона на главную криптовалюту «на деньгах» на том же временном диапазоне показывает обвал с 80% до почти 50%.   Гордон Грант считает, что такая ситуация на рынке опционов указывает на то, что продавцы после произошедшего халвинга не верят в рост Биткоина. По крайней мере в ближайшее время они этого точно не ожидают. Графики показывают, что опционные трейдеры утратили надежду на рост лидеров криптовалютного рынка, поэтому перестают холдить. Проданные контракты и создали это крутое пике.   Грант прокомментировал ситуацию так: «Cреднесрочная структура IV опционов показывает крутой перекос, который произошёл лавинообразно вследствие вышеупомянутой динамики котировок. Также ситуация связана с потенциальным возбуждением волатильности ведущей криптовалюты во второй половине 2024 года и в следующем году».   Грант указывает на то, что на рынке опционов на данный момент присутствует уверенность в том, что цена исполнения будет значительно ниже ожидаемой ранее. Участники рынка опционов, согласно метрикам, считают с равной долей вероятности, что Биткоин к концу года достигнет $75 000 и $100 000 соответственно. Это сравнимо с ситуацией в марте, когда на рынке была уверенность в том, что курс поднимется выше $73 000.   Грант считает, что ходлеры очень поздно пришли на рынок, чтобы получить высокую прибыль от волатильности до халвинга. При этом стали спешно уходить, когда премии стали слишком «жирными», что также послужило причиной обвала ATM.   На сегодняшний день премии настолько снизились, что BTC опционы с экспирацией на $100 000 продаются уже с дисконтом в 10%, при том что ещё в декабре премия составляла 20%. Вера рынка в то, что цена достигнет данного значения к концу года, существенно снизилась.   Стоит напомнить, что 1 мая котировки Bitcoin упали ниже $57 000.   Что касается прогнозов других аналитиков, то отметим, что ещё в апреле специалисты Glassnode писали о том, что график цены Биткоина формирует дно в области $60 000 — 66 000. При этом они предупредили, что если цена главной криптовалюты упадёт ниже указанных значений, то такая ситуация спровоцирует панику на рынке и приведёт к лавинообразному обвалу стоимости BTC.   Аналитики JPMorgan предрекали подобный исход. Их прогноз был куда более пессимистическим. В марте они предсказывали, что после халвинга Биткоин уйдёт на коррекцию вплоть до $42 000.  
    • Я про лаймы в смысле потенциально интересной инвестиции, представляется вполне способной порадовать инвестора) Удачи в новых монетах, все может быть
    • Доброго времени суток, уважаемые пользователи!Информируем Вас о добавлении новых направлений,Мы сделали минимальную сумму обмена и лучший курс.1. Газпромбанк → Tether USDT TRC202. Газпромбанк → Tether USDT ERC203.Газпромбанк → Tether USDT BEP204. Tether USDT TRC20 → Газпромбанк5. Tether USDT BEP20 → Газпромбанк6. Tether USDT ERC20 → Газпромбанк7. Bitcoin BTC → Газпромбанк8. Tether USDT BEP20 → BTБ9. Tether USDT TRC20 → BTБ10. Tether USDT ERC20 → BTБ11. Bitcoin BTC → ВТБ12. USDCoin ТRC20 USDC → Сбербанк13. USDCoin ТRC20 USDC → Тинькофф14. USDCoin ТRC20 USDC → Газпромбанк15. USDCoin ТRC20 USDC → Альфа-Банк16. USDCoin ТRC20 USDC → ВТБ17. USDCoin ТRC20 USDC → РайфайзенбанкДобавляем новые направления-каждый день, для удобности можете отслеживать наш Telegram-канал , В канале мы уведомляем подписчиков о розыгрышах, акциях, новостях о экономике, финансах и мошеннических схемах-чтобы обезопасить Вас!
    • В 2024 году на рынок вышли токены с капитализацией $8,6 млрд   Известный криптовалютный эксперт Тор Хартвигсен опубликовал сообщение в социальной сети X, в котором рассказал о новых альткоинах, появившихся за первые 4 месяца 2024 года. Он заверил, что участники рынка могли наблюдать значительный рост предложения альтернативных цифровых валют. Аналитик отметил самые главные стартапы, которые вспомнил и подсчитал рыночную (MCAP), а также их полностью разводненную, капитализацию (FDV).   Эксперт опубликовал соответствующую таблицу, в которой наглядно продемонстрировал ключевые показатели. Исследователь отметил, что большинство из активов — это проекты Binance IEO. Тор Хартвигсен подчеркнул, что «на рынок вышло уже $8,6 млрд дополнительных ликвидных поставок». При этом в ближайшие годы будет разблокировано в общей сложности еще $70,5 млрд по текущему курсу.
    • CryptoNews of the Week     – Investors may not see a rise in the price of the main cryptocurrency to new historical highs in the coming months. Optimism about the launch of cryptocurrency ETFs in Hong Kong quickly dwindled, and bitcoin began to search for its bottom again. Liquidations of long positions reached $230 million per day, according to CoinGlass monitoring. It seems that bearish sentiments arose because the trading volumes of new ETFs in Hong Kong were significantly lower than expected, which led to a capital outflow from BTC-ETFs on US exchanges. According to Glassnode analysts, bullish sentiments persist as the market prefers the "buy on the dip" approach. However, they acknowledge that losing support at around $60,000 could lead to a crash in the BTC price to $52,000. Another expert, Alan Santana, believes bitcoin could fall even lower, possibly to $30,000.   – Legendary trader, analyst, and head of Factor LLC, Peter Brandt, has allowed for a 25% probability that bitcoin has already formed another peak (ATH) in the current cycle on March 14 at a high of $73,745. The expert referred to the concept of "exponential decay," which describes a process of decreasing growth by a constant percentage over a specific period. "Historically, bitcoin has traded within approximately four-year cycles often associated with halvings. After the initial bull rally, there were three more, each 80% less powerful than the previous in terms of price growth," the specialist explained. "In my analysis, I estimated the probability [of such a scenario] at 25%. However, I trust the report I published in February more. [...] The 'pre/post-halving' cycle construction suggests that the current bullish trend will reach its peak in the range of $140,000–160,000 somewhere in late summer/early autumn 2025," clarified Peter Brandt. Giovanni Santostasi, CEO of Quantonomy, questioned the appropriateness of applying the theory of exponential decay in this particular case. "We have three data points if we exclude the period before the [first] halving, and effectively only two when looking at the ratios. This is insufficient for conducting any significant statistical analysis," Santostasi commented on Brandt's assumption. According to his own power-law model, the peak of the fourth cycle is expected around December 2025, at approximately $210,000. It is worth noting that not only Giovanni Santostasi but also many other participants in the crypto market are counting on the continuation of the bull rally and achieving a new ATH. For example, Glassnode analyst James Check hopes that the BTC rate at this stage will reach $250,000. Even Peter Brandt himself mentioned $200,000 as a potential target in the February report he cited.   – The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has examined the first cryptocurrency and its impact on global markets in a new report. The organisation recognises the asset's ability to positively influence the economy. According to the IMF, digital gold is "the key to autonomy" for many countries in difficult financial situations. The report highlights the growing popularity of bitcoin and its acceptance in various jurisdictions, while the tense geopolitical situation has made assets like bitcoin and gold "more relevant."   – According to analysts from Spot On Chain, their forecasting model, developed using an extensive dataset, takes into account halvings, interest rate cycles, ETF factors, venture investor activity, and bitcoin sales by miners. Using the artificial intelligence platform Vertex AI from Google Cloud, Spot On Chain obtained price forecasts for bitcoin for the years 2024-2025. According to calculations, the price of the first cryptocurrency will be in the range of $56,000-70,000 from May to July, characterised by increased volatility. In the second half of 2024, there is a 63% probability that BTC will rise to $100,000. "This forecast signals prevailing bullish sentiments in the market, which will be facilitated by the expected reduction in interest rates [by the US Federal Reserve]. This could increase the demand for risk assets such as stocks and bitcoin," representatives of Spot On Chain explained. According to their data, there is a "convincing probability" – 42% – that in the first half of 2025, digital gold will surpass the $150,000 mark, as the first cryptocurrency typically updates its historical maximum 6-12 months after each halving. If we consider the entire year of 2025, the chances of growth to $150,000 increase to 70%.   – Cathy Wood, CEO of Ark Invest, confirmed her long-term forecast for Ethereum. In her opinion, the main altcoin is capable of catching up with bitcoin. She believes that by 2032, its market capitalization will reach an impressive $20 trillion. Based on current values, the main altcoin should consistently trade above $160,000 by that time. Highlighting her views, Cathy Wood emphasized that technologically, Ethereum is more advanced compared to the flagship cryptocurrency. Moreover, at the moment, it remains the most in-demand platform for deploying smart contracts and decentralized applications of any complexity. In March, the price of ETH exceeded $4,000, but this was followed by a deep correction coinciding with geopolitical escalation in the Middle East, leading investors to flee from high-risk assets. Instead, they focused on diversification and began investing capital in traditional financial instruments. In light of these events, the key beneficiaries were the dollar and US Treasury bonds, as well as precious metals.    – Mark Yusko, CEO of Morgan Creek Capital, expects a massive inflow of funds into the cryptocurrency market as wealth estimated at $30 trillion from baby boomers seeks to enter digital assets. According to the businessman, capital flows will most likely come from them – those born between 1946 and 1964 – through pension accounts managed by advisors. (According to the Investment Advisor Association, in 2022, US financial advisors managed assets worth more than $114 trillion). Yusko mentioned that the introduction of BTC-ETFs has significantly changed demand. However, the full effect of this is yet to be felt. "I believe that within 12 months, $300 billion will enter this area – this is 1% of the $30 trillion. In fact, this is more money than has ever been converted into bitcoin in 15 years. We've only been working with ETFs for about three months, and we've received about 10% of what I think comes into this area from registered investment advisors who control all the boomers' money," stated Yusko, adding that the inflow could potentially increase the crypto market's capitalization to $6 trillion.   – American regulators, according to the administrator of Bitcoin.org known as Cobra, are preparing to impose a complete ban on self-custody of cryptocurrency. This means that US citizens will have to involve intermediaries who will store digital assets. "If you think the government won't come for your bitcoins, you simply haven't paid attention to this," Cobra scares readers on the X social network page. Cobra recently assured subscribers that a split might occur within the Bitcoin community. There are those who want the network to remain unchanged and those who would like to add more features to Bitcoin, expanding the network's capabilities. Cobra is confident that these disagreements could negatively affect the ecosystem of the first cryptocurrency.   – American entrepreneur and investor Chris Dixon criticised the tightening measures taken by regulators regarding cryptocurrencies. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is increasingly suing crypto companies, claiming they are trading unregistered securities. This has caused Dixon great concern. "The US has an absurd cryptocurrency regulation regime. [...] Major industry companies developing blockchain-based solutions face constant pressure. Existing rules encourage platforms to host only memecoins, which can be freely traded on markets without any restrictions, rather than other more useful crypto assets," stated Dixon. Further in his forecasts, the administrator of Bitcoin.org under the nickname Cobra believes that the US authorities are preparing to introduce a complete ban on self-custody of cryptocurrency. This means that citizens of the country will have to involve intermediaries who will store their digital assets. "If you think the government won't come for your bitcoins, you just haven't paid attention to this," Cobra scares readers on the pages of social network X.   – The Federal Court of Seattle (USA) has delivered a verdict in the case of the co-founder and former CEO of the largest crypto exchange, Binance, Changpeng Zhao. It is noted that the businessman was accused of crimes related to money transfers without a license. While the prosecution had requested three years of imprisonment, the defense suggested settling for five months of probation. Representatives of the Justice Department insisted that probation for CZ was inappropriate as "such a decision could encourage others to break the law on the largest possible scale." The defence argued the absence of evidence that the defendant was informed of the illegal activities on the exchange. As a result, one of the wealthiest people in the crypto industry got away with four months of imprisonment. Addressing his final words, Changpeng Zhao acknowledged that he had failed to properly establish a suitable client verification system at Binance and to counteract money laundering during his tenure. Recall that in November 2023, Zhao reached a settlement with the US government to end a years-long investigation against Binance. As part of the agreement, he stepped down as CEO and agreed to pay a fine of $50 million. However, as we see, the US authorities found this insufficient, and now, in addition to dismissal and a fine, a prison term has been added. Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.   #eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #btcusd #ethusd #ltcusd #xrpusd #forex #forex_example #signals #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #stock_market   https://nordfx.com/
    • Почему цена биткоина столь волатильна и наступит ли стабильность?   Биткоин по-прежнему поражает своими непредсказуемыми изменениями цены. В момент своего создания его стоимость равнялась нескольким центам, а в марте этого года он достиг рекордного максимума на отметке почти $74 000. Этот долгий путь был отмечен крайней волатильностью, а иногда его колебания превышали 80%. Понимание нестабильной природы биткоина имеет решающее значение для успеха инвесторов и аналитиков, поскольку помогает составить представление о будущем криптовалют. Волатильность биткоина обусловлена множеством факторов, которые заключаются в характеристиках очень молодой цифровой валюты. В отличие от традиционных активов, имеющих многовековую историю, биткоин и рынок криптовалют в целом не имеют устоявшейся динамики рынка. В настоящее время из-за манипуляций его стоимость регулярно переоценивается рынком, что приводит к большим колебаниям цен в ответ на новую информацию и события. Одним из фундаментальных факторов, влияющих на волатильность BTC, является лимитированность его предложения в 21 миллион монет. Усиливающийся дефицит монет усиливает колебания цен, особенно на фоне растущего спроса со стороны розничных и институциональных инвесторов. Кроме того, влияние крупных инвесторов, которых обычно называют криптокитами, ещё больше усугубляет волатильность цен. Их значительные активы позволяют им влиять на динамику рынка с помощью крупных ордеров на покупку или продажу, что также приводит к резким изменениям цен. И здесь следует упомянуть относительную незрелость инфраструктуры рынка криптовалют и проблемы с ликвидностью, поэтому любые крупные сделки, безусловно, влияют на рыночные цены. Недостаток ликвидности может усилить колебания цен, поскольку инвесторы маневрируют, открывая позиции и выходя из них. Считалось, что появление деривативов, связанных с биткоином в виде спотовых ETF, и развитие рыночной инфраструктуры могут сделать торговый процесс более стабильным. Пока же мы наблюдаем резкие скачки из-за крупных притоков и оттоков средств. Источник - https://ru.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/article-2410618
    • April Results: A British Pound Trade Nets NordFX Client Over $25,000 in Profit     Brokerage firm NordFX has summarized the trading performance of its clients for April 2024. The efficacy of social trading services, PAMM and CopyTrading, as well as the earnings of the company’s IB-partners were also evaluated.   - This month’s highest profit was earned by a client from South Asia, account number 1765XXX, who made $26,757 from trading the GBP/USD pair. - The second place in the TOP-3 was taken by their compatriot, account number 1751XXX, with earnings of $16,976 from gold trades (XAU/USD). - The third step of the April podium was claimed by a trader from East Asia, account number 1609XXX, who traded not physical but digital “gold”: bitcoin. It was the BTC/USD pair transactions that enabled them to profit by $14,301.   The passive investment services at NordFX showed the following trends:   - In the PAMM service, we continue to monitor the account named Kikos2. Opened on November 18 last year, now after 162 days of operation, it shows a fantastic profit of 1161%. While this result is impressive, the aggressive trading strategy has also led to a substantial drawdown of 58%. Unrelenting statistics demonstrate that even more conservative trading can lead to a complete loss of funds. Therefore, investors must always exercise utmost caution and only risk the money whose loss will not disrupt their normal life. We will continue to monitor and see what happens with this account in May.    - In CopyTrading, we have previously highlighted the signal yahmat-forex, which has shown a return of 415% over 312 days with a maximum drawdown of 37%. Another interesting signal called NordFXSrilanka has made a profit of 39% in 113 days, specifically since January 6, 2024. While not as impressive as yahmat-forex, its notable advantage is a very small drawdown: just about 9%.   Among the IB-partners of NordFX, the TOP-3 are as follows: - The largest commission reward of $22,732 was credited to a partner from Western Asia, account number 1645XXX. - The next is a partner from South Asia, account number 1682XXX, who received $5,224. - Finally, rounding out the top three is their compatriot, account number 1565XXX, who was rewarded with $3,614.   ***   As we conclude this month, it is important to note that NordFX clients now have yet another excellent opportunity to enhance their financial portfolio. In the 2024 super lottery, 202+4 cash prizes totaling $100,000 will be awarded. Participating in the lottery and securing a chance to win one or even several of these prizes is quite simple. For more details, visit the NordFX website. Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.   #eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #btcusd #ethusd #ltcusd #xrpusd #forex #forex_example #signals #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #stock_market   https://nordfx.com/
    • Со временем которое осталось, да скорее все так и может быть, но лучше будет постараться дойти до 6-го уровня, то есть довести дело до конца, а после и расслабиться. Хотя даже так увы нет никаких гарантий, что это может нам что-то принести, но будем надеяться, что 6 лвл будет иметь весомое значение при раздаче.
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