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What's Going to Happen With Bitcoin?

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Sabrina T. Howell

Assistant Professor, Finance, NYU Stern School of Business & NBER

Bitcoin represents a watershed in the development of digital assets: It was the first decentralized currency that managed to prevent cheating (often called the “double spend” problem), encode rules for creating new currency, and incentivize participants (“miners”) to maintain and secure the historical record of transactions. This is a breakthrough in record keeping that is not about any one currency—and there are now thousands of cryptocurrencies. It’s about the underlying decentralized, tamper-resistant record keeping technology of blockchain.

My answer to “What’s going to happen with Bitcoin?” is that I have no idea. Bitcoin faces many challenges to widespread use, including the fact that it can handle just 7 transactions per second, while Visa can handle 10,000. However, if the main miners adopt a protocol update enabling higher volumes, it’s not impossible that Bitcoin will become much more widely used. Today, it is mostly a speculative asset, a tool for money laundering, and a currency of last resort for people in countries with grossly mismanaged currencies, like Venezuela.

The bigger picture is that blockchain will affect all sectors that rely on secure data transacted among many participants, which is basically all sectors. This fall Walmart’s leafy green suppliers will be required to use the IBM blockchain built for supply chain logistics. This is not an accident, because leafy greens are often the site of food borne illnesses and the cause of expensive recalls. When each package is on the blockchain, managers will be able to source the problem to the farm in seconds rather than weeks, and discard only the packages from the problem farm. I believe that healthcare, financial services, and real estate will also see their data shift to blockchains.

https://gizmodo.com/whats-going-to-happen-with-bitcoin-1837940506

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Absolutely nothing other than it will drop then rise then drop then rise then drop then rise then drop then rise then drop then lolollolollolloooolllool

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Not really killing it, but it affects much.It will decrease the trust of the investors to cryptocurrency's world, because sometimes new investors are not doing research to a project that much so they will be snared by scam project

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When blockchain technology will be applied in most industries, then Bitcoin will be a very expensive cryptocurrency. This is the future and it is already coming.

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great article but i think everything  god knows what going to happen the key word is "the next world economic crises" when that will happen the BTC will moon or will fall forever 

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There is still a chance for bitcoin to fall its price again as many forms of corruption happens in most secure blockchain system, though secure, can be still vulnerable. As of now, we must ne happy, btc has reach 10k usd again and hope not to drop its prove again. 

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I watch and read short-term forecasts for cryptocurrencies and bitcoin 3-7 days after their publication. Try it, this is something! You will not only objectively understand what the forecasts are, but also have fun.


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No one knows exactly because Bitcoin has suffered a lot of steep declines during his lifetime, and then he has risen again. We can say that he has overcome all the difficulties he has suffered and proved his existence. In the future, these characteristics may develop more and more when Bitcoin is accepted in the world and governments cooperate. On making the Bitcoin network better and faster.
 

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At this moment the crypto market situation is not good the price of bitcoin is still down so we need to keep patine and don't panic to sell our bitcoin market will pump sooner it just takes his time to recover.

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There is only thing that can happen. The price of BTC at market would be stable at it's price or can be lower, or we should expect that for the upcoming years many good thing will happen at market and it will rises ^^

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On 10/8/2019 at 2:51 AM, isaa said:

Sabrina T. Howell

Assistant Professor, Finance, NYU Stern School of Business & NBER

Bitcoin represents a watershed in the development of digital assets: It was the first decentralized currency that managed to prevent cheating (often called the “double spend” problem), encode rules for creating new currency, and incentivize participants (“miners”) to maintain and secure the historical record of transactions. This is a breakthrough in record keeping that is not about any one currency—and there are now thousands of cryptocurrencies. It’s about the underlying decentralized, tamper-resistant record keeping technology of blockchain.

My answer to “What’s going to happen with Bitcoin?” is that I have no idea. Bitcoin faces many challenges to widespread use, including the fact that it can handle just 7 transactions per second, while Visa can handle 10,000. However, if the main miners adopt a protocol update enabling higher volumes, it’s not impossible that Bitcoin will become much more widely used. Today, it is mostly a speculative asset, a tool for money laundering, and a currency of last resort for people in countries with grossly mismanaged currencies, like Venezuela.

The bigger picture is that blockchain will affect all sectors that rely on secure data transacted among many participants, which is basically all sectors. This fall Walmart’s leafy green suppliers will be required to use the IBM blockchain built for supply chain logistics. This is not an accident, because leafy greens are often the site of food borne illnesses and the cause of expensive recalls. When each package is on the blockchain, managers will be able to source the problem to the farm in seconds rather than weeks, and discard only the packages from the problem farm. I believe that healthcare, financial services, and real estate will also see their data shift to blockchains.

https://gizmodo.com/whats-going-to-happen-with-bitcoin-1837940506

Bitcoin will coming down regularly but i am sure that now soon Bitcoin will go up and it will make a great high history but now this time it will move slowly and will come down but i hope soon market will go up because still BTC will come down his way we are going to loss and the big investors will withdraw their money from it


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On 11/2/2019 at 1:05 PM, Great Commander said:

There is still a chance for bitcoin to fall its price again as many forms of corruption happens in most secure blockchain system, though secure, can be still vulnerable. As of now, we must ne happy, btc has reach 10k usd again and hope not to drop its prove again. 

I agree with this mate but as of now the price of bitcoin will droo to $7k which is not good, it can be reached the $10k bt not for now, i think it will rise next year because the halving starts in mid year of 2020 so wait for it.

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nothing serious happened in bitcoin. the price issue, we should have passed this stage that bitcoin is indeed volatile. transaction problems, so far I have been safe just safe nothing is wrong, and sometimes it happens pending is that, and it used to be that way, that is normal.

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Now the market is going to pump where already goes to 7500$ but suddenly it again down. So it’s quite to difficult to predict the price but surely the market will pump Again.

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The opportumity right now is grtting low so we must grsb it as early as possible because we need it in near future for investing large amount and selling.

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10 hours ago, khan22 said:

Bitcoin will coming down regularly but i am sure that now soon Bitcoin will go up and it will make a great high history but now this time it will move slowly and will come down but i hope soon market will go up because still BTC will come down his way we are going to loss and the big investors will withdraw their money from it

Well don't be so sure about that because we are too early to tell now if crypto will absolutely make it in 2020 because I have read there might be a financial crash soon and I want to see if crypto can survive 2020.

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It ius true that bitcoin faces many challenges but the challenges have not much been able to prevent bitcoin form developing and reaching it's goals.

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Maybe bitcoin in the future will grow, but it depends on them if they will improve something, upgrade something, update something that was needed to be. And if they would make some changes that can make a lot of people impressed, so that the numbers of using bitcoin will increase and bitcoin will grow. 

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Just now, Alia said:

Bitcoin come down or go back to top i cant undastand still now.

You are a newbie member and i hope you will understand about the bitcoin nature very soon and now the crypto price is down but this thing is happen in every time and after a dump price will go to high jump. 


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On 10/8/2019 at 4:51 AM, isaa said:

Sabrina T. Howell

Assistant Professor, Finance, NYU Stern School of Business & NBER

Bitcoin represents a watershed in the development of digital assets: It was the first decentralized currency that managed to prevent cheating (often called the “double spend” problem), encode rules for creating new currency, and incentivize participants (“miners”) to maintain and secure the historical record of transactions. This is a breakthrough in record keeping that is not about any one currency—and there are now thousands of cryptocurrencies. It’s about the underlying decentralized, tamper-resistant record keeping technology of blockchain.

My answer to “What’s going to happen with Bitcoin?” is that I have no idea. Bitcoin faces many challenges to widespread use, including the fact that it can handle just 7 transactions per second, while Visa can handle 10,000. However, if the main miners adopt a protocol update enabling higher volumes, it’s not impossible that Bitcoin will become much more widely used. Today, it is mostly a speculative asset, a tool for money laundering, and a currency of last resort for people in countries with grossly mismanaged currencies, like Venezuela.

The bigger picture is that blockchain will affect all sectors that rely on secure data transacted among many participants, which is basically all sectors. This fall Walmart’s leafy green suppliers will be required to use the IBM blockchain built for supply chain logistics. This is not an accident, because leafy greens are often the site of food borne illnesses and the cause of expensive recalls. When each package is on the blockchain, managers will be able to source the problem to the farm in seconds rather than weeks, and discard only the packages from the problem farm. I believe that healthcare, financial services, and real estate will also see their data shift to blockchains.

https://gizmodo.com/whats-going-to-happen-with-bitcoin-1837940506

Don't believe too much with negative news aimed at dropping / lowering the price of Bitcoin. if this really happens they (whale) will buy up Bitcoin available on the market, and soon the price will go up and they get a big profit.

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Many are worried about the price of bitcoin falling, many have put bitcoin on sale in the future, the past few weeks have started to rise again.It may be a little worrying that the price has dropped in the past and then when the price has increased, the quality has increased.

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We know bitcoins max supply is only 21 million coins. it is going to reach in maximum and we are going to see the halving..so,.bitcoins future is great.


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It's natural because bitcoin is volatile, Nothing happen in Bitcoin even they goes down. I do believe that it will increase again in a near future, Right now i suggest to buy and hold your coins right now wait until the price goes up it will happen.

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Asahi Noguchi, a BoJ board member, indicated that any future rate increases would likely occur at a much slower pace compared to recent tightenings by other global central banks. He noted that it would take a significant amount of time for a positive rate cycle to become firmly established, making it uncertain whether there will be another rate increase this year.   A Reuters poll showed that no economists expect a rate hike by the BoJ before the end of June. However, 21 out of 61 respondents believe that rates could be raised in the third quarter, and 17 out of 55 anticipate a fourth-quarter hike. Of a smaller sample of 36 economists, 19% think a July hike is possible, but October is the most likely time for an increase, with approximately 36% expecting it. In contrast, 31% believe the BoJ might take action in 2025 or later.   The pair closed the week at 154.63. Rabobank experts currently see the dollar being supported by demand for safe assets amid escalating Middle East tensions. A de-escalation between Israel and Iran could help temper the rise of the American currency. The median forecast surprisingly aligns with predictions for the two previously mentioned pairs: 80% of analysts expect further weakening (downward movement for this pair indicates a strengthening dollar), while 20% anticipate a rebound. All D1 trend indicators and oscillators point upwards, with 50% in the overbought zone. The nearest support level is around 154.30, with further support at 153.90, 153.50, 152.75, 151.55-151.75, 150.80-151.15, 149.70-150.00, 148.40, 147.30-147.60, and 146.50. Identifying resistance levels remains challenging after the pair's recent peaks, with the nearest resistance at 154.75-155.00, followed by 156.25. Additional benchmarks include the June 1990 monthly high around 155.80 and the April 1990 turnaround peak at 160.30.   Besides the aforementioned BoJ meeting, consumer inflation data for the Tokyo area will also be published on Friday, April 26. No other major events regarding the Japanese economy are expected next week.   CRYPTOCURRENCIES: Will China's BTC-ETF Ignite the Market?   This analysis is prepared just hours before the 'hour X': the scheduled halving on Saturday, April 20. We will detail the market's reaction to this significant event next week. Meanwhile, let's focus on the events leading up to it. In the days leading up to the halving, the leading cryptocurrency did not bring joy to investors. Starting on April 8, the price of bitcoin was on a downward trajectory. The weekly decline in BTC was the largest in the past eight months, and in dollar terms, it was the steepest since the FTX exchange collapse in November 2022. Following bitcoin, other major altcoins also plummeted, losing about a third of their value. The local minimum for BTC/USD was recorded on April 17 at around $59,640. At that moment, analyst and co-founder of venture company CMCC Crest, Willy Woo, warned that if the price of bitcoin fell below the short-term holders' support level at $58,900, the market might enter a bear phase. However, this did not occur, and the price returned to around $62,000.   Analysts at CryptoQuant believe that the recent crash was necessary to reset unrealized trader profits to zero—a typical signal of a bottom in bull markets. Willy Woo suggested that "current bearish sentiments are actually a bullish sign," and that the next level where major short liquidations would occur is between $71,000 and $75,000. Renowned trader RektCapital reassured investors, stating that a price drop before the halving is a normal trend. "There is no need to panic, as this drop has occurred in all cycles. Don’t think that it’s different this time," he emphasized.   There were, however, other theories about the recent price drop. According to one, the fall in bitcoin was helped by the escalation of conflict in the Middle East and an attack by Iran on Israel. CEO of Galaxy Digital, Mike Novogratz, speculated that bitcoin could reach a new all-time high if the conflict in that region subsided. In this context, he urged world leaders to take control of the situation to prevent a further decline in prices for all financial assets, including cryptocurrency.   In contrast, Michael Saylor, president of MicroStrategy, believes that geopolitical tension will actually benefit bitcoin, suggesting that "chaos is good for bitcoin." Logically, this makes sense: cryptocurrency was born in response to the economic crisis of 2008, making it an alternative means of capital preservation during upheavals. (Note that MicroStrategy, with 205,000 BTC on its balance sheet, is the largest public holder of bitcoin and naturally interested in its price increase.)   OpenAI's ChatGPT did not overlook the international situation either. This Artificial Intelligence believes that if the crisis between Israel and Iran intensifies, the price of the main cryptocurrency will only slightly decrease, and this will be a short-term reaction. More severe impacts would likely be on assets like stocks. Bitcoin, however, is expected to quickly recover its position. ChatGPT, like Michael Saylor, anticipates that an initial drop will be followed by a bullish rally as investors look for a safe haven, potentially driving "digital gold" to a new historical high of $75,000. If the escalation in the Middle East becomes protracted and leads to a series of smaller conflicts, ChatGPT predicts the volatility range for bitcoin could expand: with an initial fall to $55,000 followed by a surge to $80,000.   It is worth noting that the discussed drop in BTC/USD occurred against the backdrop of a noticeable strengthening of the American currency. This was not only due to the dollar's role as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tension but also because of a postponement in market expectations regarding the timing of the Fed's easing of monetary policy. After the inflation data published on April 10, market participants decided that the first rate cut would not happen in June but in September, causing the Dollar Index (DXY) to surge sharply. Naturally, the strengthening of one asset in a currency pair led to the weakening of the other: the principle of leverage is irrefutable.   Now, a few words about what awaits the main cryptocurrency after the halving. This year, 75% of the investment influx has been provided by the newly launched spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. Their combined balance now totals $12.5 billion, with the U.S. accounting for over 95% of the global inflow into exchange-traded crypto funds. The interest in ETFs has been so strong that BlackRock's fund became the fastest-growing in history.   According to CryptoQuant analysts, the reserves of bitcoin on exchanges will last only a few months at the current rates. Total available exchange reserves have decreased by more than 800,000 BTC and have reached their lowest level in the history of two-year observations. As of April 16, they stand at about 2 million BTC. Assuming a daily influx into spot BTC-ETFs of about $500 million, which at current prices equates to approximately 8,025 coins, it would take just nine months to completely deplete these reserves.   The results of calculations using the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, which demonstrates the relationship between an asset's usage and its reserves, show that after the halving, the bitcoin S2F coefficient will reach 112 points. This is nearly twice the S2F for gold (60 points), indicating that by January 2025, bitcoin will become a more scarce commodity than the most popular precious metal.   In such a scenario, another powerful new driver could emerge. Following the U.S., similar investment inflows into cryptocurrency could be provided by spot ETFs in China. According to insider information from Bloomberg, the SEC of Hong Kong could make a positive decision on launching such funds within the next few days. And perhaps the predictions by ARK Invest's CEO, Cathy Wood, and author Robert Kiyosaki, who expect the price of bitcoin to reach $2.3 million per coin by 2030, are not so far from the truth.   As of the evening of Friday, April 19, BTC/USD is trading around $64,150. The total market capitalization of the crypto market stands at $2.32 trillion, down from $2.44 trillion a week ago. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped from 79 to 66 points, moving from the Extreme Greed zone to the Greed zone.   Finally, a bit of intriguing information for collectors. As it has been revealed, miners have begun active preparations for the "hunt" for the first "epic" satoshi to be mined after the current halving. Whoever mines it might receive a substantial sum, as the estimated value of this "collectible" digital coin could be several tens of millions of dollars. About two years ago, Casey Rodarmor, creator of the Ordinals protocol on the blockchain of the first cryptocurrency, developed a system for classifying the rarity of individual sats. With the launch of "inscriptions," it became possible to number and sell fractions of bitcoin similar to non-fungible tokens (NFTs).   Rodarmor's scale varies from the first "unusual" satoshi in each block to the "mythical" – the very first in the history of the blockchain. One of the highest degrees of rarity is the "epic" sat, mined in the first block after each halving. It is possible that collectors might value such an asset even at $50 million. (Remember that a satoshi is one hundred millionth of a bitcoin (0.00000001), and at the current BTC price, the price of a regular, non-collectible sat is just $0.00064). NordFX Analytical Group   Notice: These materials are not investment recommendations or guidelines for working in financial markets and are intended for informational purposes only. Trading in financial markets is risky and can result in a complete loss of deposited funds.   #eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #btcusd #ethusd #ltcusd #xrpusd #forex #forex_example #signals #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin #stock_market   https://nordfx.com/ 
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    • Наступило еще одно сокращение награды биткойнов вдвое, четвертое на данный момент, и оно не было похоже ни на одно другое до него, причем институциональные инвестиции впервые сыграли ключевую роль. Уполовинивание биткойнов исторически было связано с одним существенным сходством — последующим скачком цены BTC , который часто происходит через некоторое время после халвинга. Хотя сообществу еще предстоит выяснить, пойдет ли четвертое халвинг по тому же пути, кое-что уже изменилось в халвинге Биткойна в 2024 году. База пользователей криптовалют выросла как минимум на 400% с момента сокращения вдвое в 2020 году Хотя скорость генерации новых биткойнов снизилась со времени первого халвинга, спрос не остался на месте. По данным различных источников , с момента предыдущего сокращения биткойнов вдвое, которое произошло в мае 2020 года , глобальная база пользователей криптовалюты увеличилась как минимум на 400 миллионов пользователей. По оценкам Кембриджского центра альтернативных финансов (CCAF), в 2020 году число владельцев криптовалют во всем мире составило около 100 миллионов пользователей . По оценкам криптобиржи Crypto.com, к концу 2023 года число пользователей криптовалюты в мире выросло до 580 миллионов человек . Глобальные пользователи криптовалюты с января 2023 г. по декабрь 2023 г. Источник. Крипто.com Несмотря на то, что Биткойн является крупнейшей в мире криптовалютой по рыночной капитализации и самой старой, у него, очевидно, меньше пользователей, чем у всей криптоэкосистемы. По данным Technopedia, по состоянию на 2024 год около 2,7% мирового населения будут владеть биткойнами, что составляет около 219 миллионов  человек. Если верить данным, то, согласно расчетам Crypto.com, эта цифра выросла примерно на 208% по сравнению с 71 миллионом пользователей Биткойна четыре года назад. В случае с Биткойном или большинством других криптовалют оценка большинства пользователей не может быть на 100% точной, поскольку анализ транзакций в блокчейне часто неспособен отличить долгосрочных держателей от потерянных BTC, а также других факторов. Ралли биткойнов перед сокращением вдвое в 2024 году еще не наблюдалось Одно из самых больших различий между четвертым сокращением биткойна и тремя предыдущими  заключается в том, что перед сокращением в 2024 году цена продемонстрировала необычайный рост. В предыдущих циклах цена Биткойна регистрировала снижения перед халвингом, а новые исторические максимумы были достигнуты примерно через год после даты сокращения награды ха блок. Например, биткойн не поднялся выше ранее установленного ATH в 20 000 долларов до халвинга в 2020 году. В этом цикле цена Биткойна превысила ATH только через 10 месяцев после сокращения вдвое. На этот раз картина совсем иная. В текущем цикле Биткойн достиг рекордного максимума прямо перед событием халвинга, установив рекорд в 73 600 долларов 13 марта 2024 года. Такого прорыва никогда раньше не наблюдалось, и с этим согласны многие аналитики, в том числе криптоаналитик eToro Саймон Питерс. На этот раз майнеры «лучше подготовлены» к халвингу Невиданное ранее повышение цен на биткойны перед сокращением вдвое потенциально оказало положительное влияние на майеинговую отрасль, поскольку майнеры получили больший контроль над затратами на добычу биткойна. «По сравнению с предыдущим сокращением вдвое, похоже, что майнеры в целом находятся в лучшей форме с точки зрения более низкого уровня долга и потенциально лучшего контроля над своими расходами, такими как электричество», — сказал директор по исследованиям Fidelity Digital Assets Крис Койпер, добавив: «Что также помогает майнерам в этом цикле, так это повышение цен перед  сокращением вдвое — то, чего также не наблюдалось в предыдущих циклах». С момента третьего сокращения вдвое в мае 2020 года потребление энергии при майнинге биткойнов значительно возросло, увеличившись примерно с 50 тераватт-часов (Twh) до 99 Twh 18 апреля 2024 года. Энергопотребление биткойнов. Источник: Дигикономист В то же время объем потребления энергии в сети Биткойн, основанной на возобновляемых источниках энергии, также увеличился: по данным Bitcoin ESG Forecast, на долю возобновляемых источников энергии приходилось 54,5% потребления майнинга BTC по состоянию на январь 2024 года. По данным CCAF, по состоянию на сентябрь 2020 года этот показатель составлял 39%. Первое сокращение биткойнов вдвое с помощью спотовых BTC ETF в США Одна из самых простых особенностей сокращения биткойнов в два раза в 2024  году заключается в том, что это сокращение вдвое станет первым в истории, когда биржевые фонды BTC (ETF) включены в Соединенные Штаты. После многих лет усилий спотовые биткойн-ETF дебютировали в январе 2024 года, открыв доступ к биткойнам для институциональных инвесторов.   По словам аналитика Bloomberg ETF Эрика Балчунаса, спотовые биткойн-ETF добились «ошеломляющего успеха», что, очевидно, отражает всплеск спроса на биткойн.
    • 20.04.2024 Тарифы Kingex 👑   Покупка криптовалюты / Buying cryptocurrency:   BTC/ETH  +1.7% (Мы доплачиваем) USDT  +1.7% (Мы доплачиваем)   ^^SALE^^ от 50k    + 1.9%    Продажа криптовалюты / Selling cryptocurrency:   BTC/ETH  - по запросу USDT   - по запросу   Оператор: @Kingex Сайт: Kingex.io Курс на протяжении дня может меняться! ------------------------ Будьте ОСТОРОЖНЫ, появились фейки! Наш телеграм: @Kingex
    • точно не зна, насчет 1го, но во втором стандартные долбанутые а ля erc20 комиссии   кстати, с наступившим !   можно халвы купить в 5ерочке отпраздновать   и тончик снова припал
    • Представители Федерального бюро расследований предупреждают общественность о распространении программы-вымогателя Akira. Согласно заявлению ФБР , программа-вымогатель Akira Bitcoin ( BTC ) нанесла многомиллионные убытки различным компаниям и организациям в Северной Америке, Европе и Австралии. Вредоносное ПО получает доступ к инфраструктуре предприятия через VPN, получая доступ к программному обеспечению без многофакторной аутентификации. Затем Акира крадет конфиденциальные данные и важную информацию, блокируя доступ к системе. Далее на экране отображается сообщение с требованием выкупа. Хакеры используют биткойн в качестве способа оплаты.   В результате распространения программы-вымогателя неизвестные мошенники завладели более чем $42 млн, затронув более 250 компаний. Первоначально хакеры атаковали компьютерные системы на базе Windows, но позже следователи выявили и Linux-версию Akira. ФБР совместно с Агентством кибербезопасности и безопасности инфраструктуры (CISA), Европейским центром по киберпреступности Европола (EC3) и Национальным центром кибербезопасности Нидерландов (NCSC-NL) выпустило специальное предупреждение. Ранее ФБР опубликовало отчет о мошенничестве с инвестициями в криптовалюту. По данным агентства, в 2023 году этот показатель увеличился на 53% до $3,94 млрд. Как пояснили в ФБР, большая часть афер была связана с обещанием высоких прибылей от инвестиций в цифровые активы и составляет 86% всех потерь от инвестиционного мошенничества. В Соединенных Штатах.
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