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Surprised at Bitcoin's performance in late 2020 - early 2021? Here are the reasons why.

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3 reasons why bitcoin has doubled in less than a month - and why experts think it won't repeat its 2017 crash

Ben Winck

 

  • Bitcoin has more than doubled in less than a month, leaving analysts and investors stunned and concerned about a possible market bubble.
  • In many ways the token's rally in recent months is crucially different than the surge seen three years ago, as buyers now range from casual day traders to fund managers handling billions of dollars in assets.
  • Easy monetary conditions and trillions of dollars in fiscal stimulus have led some investors to view the token as a new inflation hedge.
  • Detailed below are the factors driving bitcoin higher, and why experts don't think the cryptocurrency will crash as it did in 2017.

It took nearly 11 years for bitcoin to reach $20,000 per coin for the first time in 2017. Just 22 days later, the world's most popular cryptocurrency has surged another $20,000, and its momentum is so far holding strong.

 

Bitcoin's rapid climb back in 2017 was swiftly followed by sell-offs that erased the bulk of its quickly earned gains. But no such trend has emerged this time around, and experts say a combination of factors fueled the token's surge through 2020 and will continue to boost bitcoin in the new year.

 

Detailed below are three reasons behind bitcoin's price spike, and a discussion of why it's unlikely to suffer a crash similar to that seen two years ago.

(1) Fear of missing out

While passionate retail investors powered bitcoin's 2017 rally, public companies sparked the token's latest climb. MicroStrategy started a chain reaction when it bought $425 million worth of bitcoin in August and September, Jimmy Nguyen, president of the Bitcoin Association, told Insider. The move opened the door for other public companies to view bitcoin as a viable reserve asset.

 

Square followed in October with its own $50 million purchase. Still, it wasn't until PayPal adopted bitcoin that prices began to rocket higher. The company announced on October 21 that it would allow its hundreds of millions of users to buy, sell, and hold bitcoin. The token leaped to its highest level since July 2019 as investors saw the adoption as a key step forward for bitcoin's widespread use.

 

"People are seeing a move to it as a reserve asset, knowing there's a limited supply of Bitcoin, and saying, 'okay, I want my piece of it before it goes too high in price," Nguyen said.

 

The subsequent rise in bitcoin prices then pulled institutional investors into the fray. Fund managers who previously balked at the token and its violent price swings feared they were missing out on strong returns and began shifting some cash into the cryptocurrency.

 

Institutional investors have since pushed billions of dollars into the cryptocurrency market. Their involvement has played the biggest part in the token's meteoric rise through the end of 2020, according to Douglas Borthwick, chief marketing officer at digital-asset trading platform INX.

 

"If you don't have something in your portfolio that's performing well, then you're not going to perform well. People are going to leave your fund," Borthwick told Insider. "You've got larger and larger position sizes chasing a smaller and smaller number of bitcoin in circulation."

(2) Demand for inflation hedges

Bitcoin may first seem completely disconnected from the coronavirus pandemic, but the health crisis' fallout has played a critical role in supporting token prices. Governments around the world passed several trillion dollars worth of fiscal stimulus to pad against the pandemic's economic damage.

 

The influx of fresh currency and easy monetary conditions boosted the case for bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said in November. A limited supply of 21 million tokens and insulation from policy decisions saw the token serve as an alternative to gold and other hedge assets.

 

"That money printing has meant that everyone in the world has been searching for hard assets to invest in, something that isn't going up in terms of supply," Borthwick said.

(3) Increase legitimacy

Companies and institutional investors warming up to bitcoin has given legitimacy to an asset recently known more for its murky uses than its investment potential. During the token's 2017 rally, those less familiar with cryptocurrencies associated them with "nefarious activities," Borthwick said.

 

PayPal's adoption and the influx of institutional funds lend bitcoin new legitimacy and interest among retail investors, Borthwick added. And just yesterday, the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency said national banks can use blockchain networks and stablecoins for payments, further legitimizing digital currencies.

 

"The more big names get involved in the space and the more regulators start writing regulations about it, the more it becomes a mainstream asset," Borthwick said.

 

Curiosity among everyday investors exploded through the end of last year. Global search interest for bitcoin more than tripled from early October to early January, according to Google Trends data. Celebrities ranging from actress Maisie Williams to rapper Meek Mill have tweeted about entering the cryptocurrency market. In a matter of months, the crowd pushing cash into bitcoin has evolved from fund managers and crypto-fanatics to practically everybody else, Borthwick said.

 

"There's an absolute land rush to get invested in the crypto space," he added. "It's no longer friends and family and old friends from college."

What's ahead for the red-hot cryptocurrency

Bitcoin's rapid doubling has naturally prompted some investors to deem the token a bubble. JPMorgan said Monday that the token's rally moves it "into more challenging territory," and that a continued climb at its current pace would likely "prove unsustainable."

 

The market very well may be "prone to a sort of correction," but it's unlikely to resemble that seen three years ago, Nguyen said. Institutional investors are poised to maintain their bitcoin positions for fear of prematurely selling and missing out on additional returns.

 

Growing interest in blockchain and cryptocurrencies also protects prices from returning to the recent lows, Borthwick said.

 

"What you're talking about here is the adoption of something by everybody in the world over a very short period of time," he said. "When you talk about a new technology, I don't think there ever is such a thing as a top."

source: https://markets.businessinsider.com/currencies/news/bitcoin-price-btc-performance-explanation-cryptocurrency-market-crash-token-investing-2021-1-1029945005

 

A few months have passed after Bitcoin's third halving. For the cryptocurrency community, a Bitcoin bullrun is inevitable after that event. Indeed, a few months after the third halving, Bitcoin has entered its bullrun phase, and is still maintaining so as of this writing.

 

But what sets this particular bullrun from previous ones is its scope. For one thing, its current price at ~$40,000 per 1 BTC is unprecedented. Another thing is its duration. More than a month has passed since it started, and there is still no indication of it stopping at this time.

 

With the way Bitcoin has exceeded ATHs so many times already, an article was written attempting to explain the reasons why. So here are the three reasons cited. There may be more, feel free to post additional ones here.

  1. Fear of missing out (FOMO) - Various companies have started to include cryptocurrencies in their services. One of the biggest names was Paypal, which was discussed in another topic. If other similar companies in competition with Paypal follows suit, we might expect BTC to rise even more.
  2. Demand for inflation hedges - We know how 2020 was a b**** with the coronavirus pandemic and all. Earlier ones who recognized Bitcoin as an inflation hedge and bought them early on are lucky. Crypto users who have bought Bitcoin back when it was falling to the ~$4,000 range back in March wins big now.
  3. Increased legitimacy - If Paypal's adoption of Bitcoin wasn't enough, more and more celebrities and institutions are giving thoughts and are investing in Bitcoin and its services as well. Increased use by traditional institutions means increased legitimacy, not to mention increased demand as well.

We are currently testing uncharted waters with Bitcoin. We will see whether or not a negative news or event will put a stoppage to its rise. If BTC's price falls though, this means buying oppotunities, and this time larger corporations might take part.

 

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New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

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The major reason if we see is increase in demand and unlike 2017 retail investsors, this time we Intitution are coming and Bitcoin is becoming the better store of value better than any assest. The inflatiom coming to the Bitcoin (ie. Daily mined btc) are being bought by square payal and there is kinda shoratage of supply which is pushing the price even higher. And talking about celebrities coming, Elon Musk has replied in a tweet that he would never turn down getting bitcoin payments.

And also he replied to a tweet that he would buy doge one day.

All these things refers that Bitcoin has alot of room to grow in coming future.

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NOTHING I SAY IS FINANCIAL ADVICE. YOU SHOULD USE YOUR MIND ,FOR YOUR MONEY,

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Bitcoin have surprise everyone last year, and until now no one have predicted that bitcoin will hits such level within some short period of time. Now bitcoin is at 40k usd which prediction cannot make it rise or fall again, just if the demand and supply continues and the price will be maintain at that level. 

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The price of Bitcoin depends mainly on the amount of supply and demand in the market ..

I think that the increased interest around the world in cryptocurrencies by businessmen and the attention of companies to the presence of this good option for digital dealings will cause an increase in demand for cryptocurrencies and thus an increase in their value in the market

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My friend, do not be surprised, in 2020, the Corona virus entered the whole world and everyone committed to home quarantine to prevent it, but there is no trouble, and therefore there is no money, as everyone has started working on the Internet in the field of cryptocurrencies to earn higher from it, as Bitcoin has taken a very advanced turn from the demand of traders to it  In addition to PayPal's support for him, as well as Amazon's investment in it, so I should not be surprised at its price in 2021, for it reached a price of $ 40,000.

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I can say one of the reason that result in the increase in the price of bitcoin is the wide rate of adoption people do not recognize it significant untill late 2020 and early 2021 that is when bitcoin win much popularity till date.

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This is very normal, my friend, this encryption has gained widespread fame all over the world, so the work area expanded and spread and won the admiration of many people, so the demand for this digital currency increased due to the large number of members who joined it.

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For many scholars of the cryptocurrency market it has not really been a surprise but an expected fact and it will not be a reason to be surprised that Bitcoin this year will exceed $ 100k, since that is what most of the studies and predictions. Now Bitcoin is undergoing a correction around 37k and I think it is going to be a good time for many to decide to enter.

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Always act with conscience and a sense of camaraderie and every time you make a post, stop for a moment and review in detail the posts of other members around you, so that you can give your respective reaction. :classic_wink:

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I watched this video yesterday https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyst-who-nailed-bitcoins-40000-level-says-50-collapse-could-come-next-140051309.html . An analyst's prediction looking like to be true unfortunately 😂 ! Bad luck, I felt selling pressure at $38K range ! Now even bigger institutions are also rushing away to take the profits. Lol, chaos is again on the way 🤣 !

Check the current rate, from $40K to $33K now ! Skyrocketing growth of Bitcoin was seen but now I do not know which base will be the best suit for it. 

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Thanks for sharing this account, that is a good analysis, mate. It's naturally surprising that Bitcoin has gone above previous ATH more than a hundred percent. The strongest reason for this price is as you  mentioned all these institutional investments that have gone into Bitcoin,  but I guess there is also some effect of the weakness showed by the USD after all this massive money printing to counter the pandemic.

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Thats for this information, it is interesting. I think the Bitcoin prices rised much with the late instituonal interest in Bitcoin. As we all know , PayPal started accepting payments with Bitcoin and with some major Altcoins and is constantly buying crypto now. Grayscale and Microstrategy are also announced that they increase their Bitcoin assets continiously. So there is greater demand in the market.

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You're right, dear, thank you for this post, of course bitcoin in the late 2020s has gone up very dramatically, and this rise continued in early 2021, and in my opinion this is due to the adoption of PayPal and Amazon bitcoin payment, they understand Jejun this step. 

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There were many things happened and changed the tide for Bitcoin, especially after the first USA lockdown when price for Bitcoin dived and the american exchanges dived too, it wasn't looking good then and doesn't look good for the economies today either.

But Bitcoin survived, it decoupled from every other asset, gold prices, stocks prices and everything else meant nothing, Bitcoin had everything and the top investors found this and did the right thing very early. What is best, is that at $40,000 volatility returned and we will have some very exciting times with Bitcoin reaching higher again after going a lot lower. I think there will be another two major waves before the final top.

All mentioned are correct as there are inflation fears for all economies, and also high unemployment, prolonged recession and a negative sentiment that is brewing in stock markets. Also the USA will once again try to pump the markets with printing and the rest economies will follow.

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On 1/10/2021 at 5:03 PM, Ridam said:

And talking about celebrities coming, Elon Musk has replied in a tweet that he would never turn down getting bitcoin payments.

If those celebrities you've quoted won't back down on their words when Bitcoin goes down, then at least their quotes are worth noting. BTC right now is starting to go down, and we'll see whether or not these celebrities will be among the first to panic.

 

22 hours ago, Whited35 said:

I watched this video yesterday https://finance.yahoo.com/news/analyst-who-nailed-bitcoins-40000-level-says-50-collapse-could-come-next-140051309.html . An analyst's prediction looking like to be true unfortunately 😂 ! Bad luck, I felt selling pressure at $38K range ! Now even bigger institutions are also rushing away to take the profits. Lol, chaos is again on the way 🤣 !

Check the current rate, from $40K to $33K now ! Skyrocketing growth of Bitcoin was seen but now I do not know which base will be the best suit for it. 

On this link, the fault being pointed out most likely started from Bitcoin miners selling off their holdings.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-plummets-miners-sell-inventory-092227718.html

And according to the link, this is normal and has been way overdue.

Quote

"Joel Kruger, a currency strategist at LMAX Digital, said the market was severely overbought and in need of a healthy correction. Indeed, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart had jumped well above 70.00, implying overbought conditions last week." - link

Let's see what will happen in a few days. If I remember correctly there was also a brief price fall back in mid-December, but it quickly rose back up soon after. Whether something like this happens again or BTC falls back to its lowest support will depend on how many traders and hodlers will panic sell.

 

22 hours ago, Jromz said:

but I guess there is also some effect of the weakness showed by the USD after all this massive money printing to counter the pandemic.

Maybe so. By the way, as reported by Coindesk a few days ago, there is an incoming stimulus package from the Biden administration that might affect Bitcoin prices at a later time.

https://www.coindesk.com/why-joe-bidens-3t-stimulus-package-could-add-fuel-to-bitcoins-rally

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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On 1/11/2021 at 12:25 AM, Dedo said:

The price of Bitcoin depends mainly on the amount of supply and demand in the market ..

I think that the increased interest around the world in cryptocurrencies by businessmen and the attention of companies to the presence of this good option for digital dealings will cause an increase in demand for cryptocurrencies and thus an increase in their value in the market

The price of the Bitcoin is also depends on the investment and holding as if user hold the Bitcoin then the price will move up and if they start to sell it then the price will be down like its now.


Youtube ChannelSocial media Assets, Websites and Plugins are available in a very reasonable price 😇 TALK Token is also acceptable.

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32 minutes ago, kyoukage01 said:

On this link, the fault being pointed out most likely started from Bitcoin miners selling off their holdings.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-plummets-miners-sell-inventory-092227718.html

And according to the link, this is normal and has been way overdue.

Alright, I am a little bit hopeful that price could again bounce back to worth above $40K range. Not only miners who were taking the profits, kindly check this news as well https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/finnish_customs_plans_to_cash_in_on_confiscated_bitcoin/11726858 ! Probably, they were also there to place a massive sell off orders of Bitcoin.

33 minutes ago, kyoukage01 said:

Maybe so. By the way, as reported by Coindesk a few days ago, there is an incoming stimulus package from the Biden administration that might affect Bitcoin prices at a later time.

https://www.coindesk.com/why-joe-bidens-3t-stimulus-package-could-add-fuel-to-bitcoins-rally

Yes, it can make the sense again ! US-based potential investors might fuel up Bitcoin. Currently, I have taken $32K as the psychological mark, not bad for normal trading. 

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It's not surprising for a member who has been following the development of BITCOIN and the whole crypto currencies system. The recent spike in bitcoin towards the end of the last year of 2020 after it halving was long passed away. So many analyst tailored in 2019 predicted and translated the value of bitcoin more than$40'000. Some forecast states $50'000 to $100'000 

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Btc rise is mostly because of huge amount of new adopters comes from corona virus pandemic period and also because of low  amount availability for buyers. People wanna hold btc in their hands and this increases the price of BTC. Also many countries have started adopting crypto national and internationally people are trading BTC. BTC is not have good number of people in support many big names are showing interest in BTC and they are inviting to others as well. Their for the price isn't going down. 

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It would be better without FOMO because this only helps for very short term and the results are always bad. I like the other two points, and it is true, Bitcoin has better recognition as a legitimate asset, and the fears of inflation also made many having to find hedge assets towards future increase of inflation. It was fear of inflation that yet hasn't been proven but this is for long term prediction, perhaps 2-3 years minimum, the results of the FED policy will be seen later.

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Hello, my friend. Bitcoin increased in price quite fast during the last weeks and I think the news about PayPal influenced the price quite a bit since it came out in October, but after going over $20k, BTC started going up faster than normal until it reached around $42k.
The main reason is clearly that the demand is greater than the supply, due to the fact that different institutions have acquired Bitcoin.
As time goes by, more news about the reasons for the last rise are coming out, but for me it is mainly due to the arrival of institutional investors and the halving effect. The rest is price-supporting news that always comes out during bull markets, such as 2017. Although I don't deny that the weakness of the dollar and the uncertainty of the U.S. elections have also affected Bitcoin positively.

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On 1/12/2021 at 1:39 PM, Whited35 said:

Alright, I am a little bit hopeful that price could again bounce back to worth above $40K range.

Your hope has been well-placed. Bitcoin is now bouncing back. Well, not yet at the $40,000 range, but we're getting close.

image.png.465523a3ba3bb9c91a59bacf0dcdce25.png

 

Surprise, surprise. 😁 Bitcoin has once again exceeded everyone's expectations. Looks like the Bitcoin bullrun will still be ongoing for a a least a few more weeks.

 

As for the link where there are plans by certain countries for confiscated Bitcoin to be liquidated, let them. If prices dropped again as a result of that move, maybe traders will pick up on cheaper Bitcoins again to sell at a later point. We might see another seesaw in BTC prices like what happened a month ago.

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/329759-bullrun-2020-vs-bullrun-2017/?do=findComment&comment=10873029

 

On 1/13/2021 at 5:27 PM, bogdanoff said:

It would be better without FOMO because this only helps for very short term and the results are always bad. I like the other two points, and it is true, Bitcoin has better recognition as a legitimate asset, and the fears of inflation also made many having to find hedge assets towards future increase of inflation. It was fear of inflation that yet hasn't been proven but this is for long term prediction, perhaps 2-3 years minimum, the results of the FED policy will be seen later.

True, FOMO will only hurt the confidence in Bitcoin once a huge correction finally settles in. But let's also remember that people now have a history (2017) to base on. If anything, I think that most big investors now do not go FOMO out of blindness and recklessness, but are more calculated. Unlike a few years back, they do now have more experienced crypto users and experts to draw opinions upon.

 

Edited by kyoukage01
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New to the Cryptotalk forum? Here's something that might help you get started:

https://cryptotalk.org/topic/24401-forum-tutorials-tips-and-tricks-for-newbies-compilation/

 

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51 minutes ago, kyoukage01 said:

Surprise, surprise. 😁 Bitcoin has once again exceeded everyone's expectations. Looks like the Bitcoin bullrun will still be ongoing for a a least a few more weeks.

Lol, waiting the momentum for BTC to reach $41K mark again 😂 ! Just checked the CFGI, the index value is at 88 i.e. the slight bearish market in the comparison of the market before the last sharp drop. 

404470619_Screenshot(14).png.c5f40c15269fbc4d8a5fe67c91ec5f21.png

Surprised to see the bullish markets once again. Investors are looking crazy once again because while other stuffs to follow the downtrend, Bitcoin is there to make its own and another stunning pace! Kindly check it out.

506016049_Screenshot(15).thumb.png.216d64b23a4ca06bf01ace50b3d5b319.png


 

 

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I am having some worries for first time during this bull run. When I invested at $10,000 it was a great moment and maybe I was lucky because of my limited knowledge, but I was reading the news and the charts and it was all looking to me very positive to keep investing. There was a lot of fomo but with everything that was going on with corporations and Grayscale institutions, and finally PayPal, I think this fomo was justified.

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There was a lot of new money entering from some wealthy investors and institutions. 2 billion was the microstrategy purchaces alone, and this could move the market on its own. But sometimes the money ends and the market corrects for some time. This one is not going to be a big problem. Even above $20,000 Bitcoin will still be bullish and only concern will be if it drops bellow this price.

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I will be surprised if this amazing performance just ends here and doesn't continue. But I think that Bitcoin will not require increased legitimacy because this will come with regulations that will change the way it is supposed to be used and effectively remove a lot of the positives it brings as a financial system of its own. Bitcoin is not going to be irrelevant or less used if it is less legitimate, but there will be an effect in the price for this reason.

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    • Сам тоже думаю не садиться в этот поезд, а то пошёл там выполнять их задания в Гелакси и только сбои да сбои, надоело там раз разом крутить кнопку проверки. Почему всё так происходит не пойму, полностью отбили мотивацию.
    • Если их машина по сжиганию будет работать отлично, то и токен будет в будущем расти из-за сокращения его огромного количества. Пока как знаю дела в этом направлении идут не плохо, но рост конечно идут за счёт Битка.
    • Да это уж многих удивило, сам тоже увы не в теме, хотя крос у меня стоил 10$, если был бы 100$, то точно зашёл бы в тему с ремонтом, а там уже каждый день за 20 дайсов мог бы получать по 0.5$ за 20 секунд.  Кстати у вас всё ещё видны ваши кеды ? Их можно ремонтировать 🤔
    • Да, типа это пользователи так сделали, что форум на дне, а ведь с самого начала нужно было понять, что на одной оплата так далеко дело не пойдёт. Нужно было с самого начала работать над качеством пользователей и жёстче бороться с ботоводами, мотивировать на создание топиков, дать возможность размещать реф ссылки во всех разделах форума, в том числе и сокращение ссылки, подключить рекламу к форуму, если так плохо дело с подписанными. И это только начало списка, где всё это можно реализовать, но нет никаких действий очень долгое время.
    • Отлично, что и у вас получилось, теперь можно будет вникать в тему, где как заметил сами их квесты много времени не отнимают, ну кроме проверки. Сделал всё, оставил на час или вообще зайдёшь завтра и уже можно минтить поинты.
    • Если так будет, то шансов на успех скорее всего будет не многовато, когда рынок может пойти на дно и даже Лаунчпад на Бинансе особо то не сможет помочь проекту. Хотя будет надеяться на то что всё пройдёт хорошо и после халвинга не будет сильный спад рынка.
    • Из-за чего про них будут помнить ещё несколько сотен тысяч пользователей, которых они не хило кинули. А всё могло быть иначе, если разработчики распределились с дропом получше как и вообще самим листингом токена.
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